Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.972.87safe0.00–1.871.11–2.821.05–4.69safer0.00–2.120.88–3.050.57–5.17
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.508.62safe1.26–4.983.75–7.245.01–12.22safer0.77–5.473.29–7.714.06–13.18
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4615.4825.94safe6.53–14.3811.92–19.0418.45–33.43safer5.44–15.4710.96–20.0016.40–35.48
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8710.2117.08safe3.93–9.827.53–12.8911.46–22.71safer3.10–10.656.79–13.639.89–24.27
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.757.62safe0.99–4.753.10–6.404.08–11.15safer0.44–5.292.60–6.893.05–12.19
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.195.9510.13safe1.97–6.403.95–7.955.92–14.35safer1.40–6.973.41–8.484.81–15.45
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.5862.74safe31.79–45.3755.96–69.53safer30.12–47.0454.29–71.20
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction346560906safe279–413494–627772–1039safer260–431476–644736–1075
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.5677.24safe59.53–67.5972.92–81.57safer58.23–68.8871.61–82.88
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5711.2822.84safe8.73–14.408.33–14.2217.06–28.63safer7.97–15.167.58–14.9715.56–30.13
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.234.23safe0.84–3.161.13–3.321.98–6.48safer0.54–3.460.84–3.611.39–7.07
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.743.81safe1.02–3.120.61–2.871.63–5.98safer0.75–3.390.32–3.161.07–6.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.315.86safe2.12–4.990.75–3.862.87–8.86safer1.73–5.380.33–4.292.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 1.97 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.05 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.26–4.98 0.77–5.47 | 5.50 3.75–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.46 6.53–14.38 5.44–15.47 | 15.48 11.92–19.04 10.96–20.00 | 25.94 18.45–33.43 16.40–35.48 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 6.87 3.93–9.82 3.10–10.65 | 10.21 7.53–12.89 6.79–13.63 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 4.75 3.10–6.40 2.60–6.89 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.05–12.19 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 4.19 1.97–6.40 1.40–6.97 | 5.95 3.95–7.95 3.41–8.48 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 38.58 31.79–45.37 30.12–47.04 | 62.74 55.96–69.53 54.29–71.20 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 346 279–413 260–431 | 560 494–627 476–644 | 906 772–1039 736–1075 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.56 59.53–67.59 58.23–68.88 | 77.24 72.92–81.57 71.61–82.88 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 22.84 17.06–28.63 15.56–30.13 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.61 | 4.23 1.98–6.48 1.39–7.07 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.39 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.81 1.63–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.31 0.75–3.86 0.33–4.29 | 5.86 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 62% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.