Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.032.40safe0.41–2.340.17–1.880.58–4.23safer0.16–2.590.00–2.110.10–4.71
Shots on target
56%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.497.88safe2.54–6.261.74–5.234.28–11.49safer2.05–6.751.28–5.693.32–12.45
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6610.0723.73safe9.73–17.586.51–13.6416.24–31.22safer8.64–18.675.55–14.6014.19–33.27
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.657.3315.98safe5.70–11.594.65–10.0110.35–21.60safer4.87–12.423.91–10.758.79–23.17
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.756.71safe2.08–5.841.10–4.403.18–10.25safer1.54–6.390.60–4.892.14–11.28
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.189.78safe3.39–7.812.18–6.185.57–13.99safer2.81–8.391.65–6.714.46–15.10
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.4047.34safe46.61–60.1940.55–54.12safer44.94–61.8638.88–55.79
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction484409893safe416–551343–476759–1026safer398–569325–493723–1062
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction70.3168.26safe66.28–74.3463.93–72.58safer64.98–75.6362.62–73.89
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8210.5621.38safe7.98–13.667.62–13.5115.60–27.17safer7.23–14.416.87–14.2614.10–28.67
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.553.28safe0.57–2.890.46–2.641.03–5.53safer0.27–3.190.17–2.930.44–6.12
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.943.61safe0.63–2.720.81–3.061.43–5.79safer0.36–2.990.52–3.360.88–6.35
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.005.32safe0.89–3.761.44–4.562.33–8.32safer0.50–4.151.02–4.981.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.59 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.40 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 3.49 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 7.88 4.28–11.49 3.32–12.45 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.73–17.58 8.64–18.67 | 10.07 6.51–13.64 5.55–14.60 | 23.73 16.24–31.22 14.19–33.27 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.70–11.59 4.87–12.42 | 7.33 4.65–10.01 3.91–10.75 | 15.98 10.35–21.60 8.79–23.17 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.54–6.39 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.81 2.81–8.39 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.71 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 53.40 46.61–60.19 44.94–61.86 | 47.34 40.55–54.12 38.88–55.79 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 484 416–551 398–569 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.31 66.28–74.34 64.98–75.63 | 68.26 63.93–72.58 62.62–73.89 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.41 | 10.56 7.62–13.51 6.87–14.26 | 21.38 15.60–27.17 14.10–28.67 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.00 1.44–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.32 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.