Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.503.04safe0.57–2.500.65–2.361.22–4.86safer0.32–2.750.42–2.590.74–5.34
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.739.52safe2.92–6.652.99–6.475.91–13.12safer2.43–7.142.52–6.944.96–14.08
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3713.9227.29safe9.44–17.2910.36–17.4819.80–34.78safer8.35–18.399.40–18.4417.75–36.83
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.608.9018.50safe6.66–12.556.22–11.5812.88–24.12safer5.83–13.375.48–12.3211.31–25.69
Blocked shots
26%
13%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.364.617.97safe1.47–5.242.96–6.264.43–11.50safer0.93–5.782.46–6.763.40–12.54
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.9710.30safe3.11–7.542.97–6.976.08–14.51safer2.53–8.112.44–7.514.98–15.62
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.9550.41safe43.16–56.7443.62–57.19safer41.49–58.4141.95–58.86
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction441443884safe374–508377–510750–1018safer356–526359–527715–1054
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction67.9975.49safe63.96–72.0271.16–79.81safer62.67–73.3169.85–81.12
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.089.9821.06safe8.24–13.927.03–12.9215.28–26.84safer7.49–14.686.28–13.6713.77–28.35
Offsides
72%
13%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.521.665.18safe2.36–4.680.57–2.762.93–7.44safer2.06–4.980.28–3.052.34–8.03
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.703.27safe0.52–2.620.57–2.831.09–5.45safer0.25–2.880.28–3.120.53–6.01
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.060.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.45safer0.00–0.350.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.006.14safe1.70–4.571.45–4.563.15–9.13safer1.31–4.961.02–4.992.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.65 2.43–7.14 | 4.73 2.99–6.47 2.52–6.94 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.37 9.44–17.29 8.35–18.39 | 13.92 10.36–17.48 9.40–18.44 | 27.29 19.80–34.78 17.75–36.83 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.66–12.55 5.83–13.37 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 18.50 12.88–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.47–5.24 0.93–5.78 | 4.61 2.96–6.26 2.46–6.76 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 26% 13% 60% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.53–8.11 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.51 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.95 43.16–56.74 41.49–58.41 | 50.41 43.62–57.19 41.95–58.86 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–526 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 884 750–1018 715–1054 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.99 63.96–72.02 62.67–73.31 | 75.49 71.16–79.81 69.85–81.12 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 9.98 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.67 | 21.06 15.28–26.84 13.77–28.35 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 3.52 2.36–4.68 2.06–4.98 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 5.18 2.93–7.44 2.34–8.03 | 72% 13% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.01 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.70–4.57 1.31–4.96 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.99 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.