Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.192.65safe0.50–2.430.33–2.040.83–4.47safer0.25–2.690.10–2.270.35–4.95
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.778.38safe2.75–6.482.03–5.514.78–11.99safer2.26–6.961.56–5.983.82–12.94
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2210.5724.78safe10.29–18.147.00–14.1317.30–32.27safer9.20–19.236.04–15.0915.25–34.32
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.596.8116.41safe6.65–12.534.13–9.4910.78–22.03safer5.82–13.363.40–10.239.22–23.60
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.816.73safe2.03–5.801.16–4.463.19–10.26safer1.49–6.340.67–4.962.15–11.30
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.473.889.35safe3.25–7.681.88–5.895.14–13.57safer2.68–8.251.35–6.424.03–14.67
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction45.6053.81safe38.81–52.3947.02–60.59safer37.14–54.0645.35–62.27
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction414503917safe347–481437–570783–1051safer328–499419–587748–1086
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction70.6275.50safe66.59–74.6571.17–79.82safer65.30–75.9469.86–81.13
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1511.7124.86safe10.31–15.998.77–14.6619.08–30.64safer9.55–16.748.02–15.4117.57–32.15
Offsides
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.345.07safe1.56–3.881.25–3.442.81–7.32safer1.26–4.180.96–3.722.22–7.91
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.173.87safe0.65–2.751.04–3.301.69–6.05safer0.39–3.020.75–3.591.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.965.39safe0.99–3.861.41–4.522.40–8.38safer0.60–4.250.98–4.941.59–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.69 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 44% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.48 2.26–6.96 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 8.38 4.78–11.99 3.82–12.94 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.22 10.29–18.14 9.20–19.23 | 10.57 7.00–14.13 6.04–15.09 | 24.78 17.30–32.27 15.25–34.32 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.40–10.23 | 16.41 10.78–22.03 9.22–23.60 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.67–4.96 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.30 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 3.88 1.88–5.89 1.35–6.42 | 9.35 5.14–13.57 4.03–14.67 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 45.60 38.81–52.39 37.14–54.06 | 53.81 47.02–60.59 45.35–62.27 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 328–499 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.62 66.59–74.65 65.30–75.94 | 75.50 71.17–79.82 69.86–81.13 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.15 10.31–15.99 9.55–16.74 | 11.71 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 24.86 19.08–30.64 17.57–32.15 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.26–4.18 | 2.34 1.25–3.44 0.96–3.72 | 5.07 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 48% 18% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 5.39 2.40–8.38 1.59–9.19 | 32% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+