Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.012.68safe0.70–2.640.16–1.860.85–4.50safer0.45–2.890.00–2.090.37–4.98
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.348.70safe3.50–7.231.60–5.085.10–12.31safer3.01–7.721.13–5.554.14–13.26
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0510.4426.49safe12.12–19.976.88–14.0019.00–33.97safer11.03–21.065.92–14.9616.95–36.03
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.797.5518.34safe7.84–13.734.87–10.2312.71–23.96safer7.01–14.564.13–10.9711.15–25.53
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.492.907.39safe2.61–6.371.25–4.553.85–10.93safer2.06–6.910.76–5.052.82–11.96
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.514.3010.81safe4.30–8.722.30–6.306.60–15.02safer3.72–9.301.77–6.835.49–16.13
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3845.76safe47.59–61.1838.98–52.55safer45.92–62.8437.31–54.22
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction429344773safe361–496278–411639–906safer343–514260–428603–942
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction69.1768.92safe65.14–73.2064.60–73.24safer63.85–74.5063.29–74.55
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0512.1823.23safe8.22–13.899.23–15.1217.45–29.01safer7.46–14.658.49–15.8715.95–30.52
Offsides
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.354.49safe0.99–3.311.26–3.442.24–6.75safer0.68–3.610.97–3.731.65–7.34
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.903.70safe0.76–2.850.77–3.031.53–5.88safer0.49–3.120.48–3.320.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.475.74safe0.83–3.701.92–5.032.74–8.73safer0.44–4.091.49–5.451.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.01 0.16–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 8.70 5.10–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 10.44 6.88–14.00 5.92–14.96 | 26.49 19.00–33.97 16.95–36.03 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.79 7.84–13.73 7.01–14.56 | 7.55 4.87–10.23 4.13–10.97 | 18.34 12.71–23.96 11.15–25.53 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 2.90 1.25–4.55 0.76–5.05 | 7.39 3.85–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.51 4.30–8.72 3.72–9.30 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.83 | 10.81 6.60–15.02 5.49–16.13 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 54.38 47.59–61.18 45.92–62.84 | 45.76 38.98–52.55 37.31–54.22 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 429 361–496 343–514 | 344 278–411 260–428 | 773 639–906 603–942 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.17 65.14–73.20 63.85–74.50 | 68.92 64.60–73.24 63.29–74.55 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 23.23 17.45–29.01 15.95–30.52 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.68–3.61 | 2.35 1.26–3.44 0.97–3.73 | 4.49 2.24–6.75 1.65–7.34 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.76–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.74 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.