Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.402.86safe0.49–2.430.55–2.261.04–4.68safer0.24–2.680.32–2.480.56–5.16
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.229.10safe3.02–6.742.48–5.965.49–12.70safer2.53–7.232.01–6.434.54–13.66
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7511.8726.62safe10.83–18.688.30–15.4319.13–34.10safer9.74–19.777.34–16.3917.08–36.16
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.277.9417.22safe6.33–12.225.26–10.6211.59–22.84safer5.50–13.054.52–11.3610.03–24.41
Blocked shots
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.467.99safe2.65–6.411.81–5.124.46–11.53safer2.10–6.951.32–5.613.42–12.56
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.824.5010.33safe3.61–8.042.50–6.506.12–14.54safer3.04–8.611.97–7.045.01–15.65
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6852.34safe40.89–54.4745.56–59.13safer39.22–56.1443.89–60.80
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction446480926safe379–513414–547792–1060safer360–531396–564757–1095
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction66.6271.95safe62.59–70.6567.62–76.27safer61.30–71.9466.32–77.58
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9912.7222.71safe7.15–12.829.77–15.6616.92–28.49safer6.39–13.589.03–16.4115.42–29.99
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.543.27safe0.57–2.890.45–2.631.02–5.53safer0.27–3.200.16–2.920.43–6.12
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.043.31safe0.22–2.320.91–3.171.13–5.48safer0.00–2.590.62–3.460.57–6.04
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.385.85safe1.04–3.911.82–4.932.86–8.84safer0.65–4.301.40–5.362.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.48 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.22 2.48–5.96 2.01–6.43 | 9.10 5.49–12.70 4.54–13.66 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.83–18.68 9.74–19.77 | 11.87 8.30–15.43 7.34–16.39 | 26.62 19.13–34.10 17.08–36.16 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.22 5.50–13.05 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 17.22 11.59–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.46 1.81–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.56 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.33 6.12–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 47.68 40.89–54.47 39.22–56.14 | 52.34 45.56–59.13 43.89–60.80 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 360–531 | 480 414–547 396–564 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.62 62.59–70.65 61.30–71.94 | 71.95 67.62–76.27 66.32–77.58 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.15–12.82 6.39–13.58 | 12.72 9.77–15.66 9.03–16.41 | 22.71 16.92–28.49 15.42–29.99 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+