Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.590.972.56safe0.62–2.560.12–1.830.74–4.38safer0.37–2.810.00–2.060.26–4.86
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.173.488.65safe3.31–7.031.73–5.225.04–12.25safer2.82–7.521.27–5.684.08–13.21
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3610.1724.53safe10.43–18.286.61–13.7417.04–32.02safer9.34–19.375.65–14.6914.99–34.07
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.657.1116.76safe6.70–12.594.43–9.8011.14–22.38safer5.87–13.423.70–10.539.57–23.95
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.656.53safe1.99–5.761.00–4.312.99–10.06safer1.45–6.300.51–4.801.96–11.10
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.869.87safe3.80–8.221.86–5.865.66–14.09safer3.22–8.801.33–6.394.55–15.19
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.0144.74safe48.22–61.8037.96–51.53safer46.55–63.4736.28–53.20
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction519392910safe451–586325–458777–1044safer433–604308–476741–1080
Pass accuracy %
52%
42%
homeawayprediction69.5168.53safe65.48–73.5464.20–72.85safer64.18–74.8362.89–74.16
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1411.0421.17safe7.30–12.978.09–13.9815.39–26.96safer6.54–13.737.34–14.7313.89–28.46
Offsides
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.784.85safe0.91–3.231.68–3.872.59–7.10safer0.61–3.531.39–4.162.00–7.69
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.153.84safe0.64–2.741.02–3.281.66–6.01safer0.37–3.000.73–3.571.10–6.57
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.18safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.305.68safe0.94–3.811.75–4.862.69–8.67safer0.55–4.201.32–5.291.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.03 2.82–7.52 | 3.48 1.73–5.22 1.27–5.68 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.21 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.36 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 10.17 6.61–13.74 5.65–14.69 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.65 6.70–12.59 5.87–13.42 | 7.11 4.43–9.80 3.70–10.53 | 16.76 11.14–22.38 9.57–23.95 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.53 2.99–10.06 1.96–11.10 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.80–8.22 3.22–8.80 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.19 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.01 48.22–61.80 46.55–63.47 | 44.74 37.96–51.53 36.28–53.20 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 519 451–586 433–604 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.51 65.48–73.54 64.18–74.83 | 68.53 64.20–72.85 62.89–74.16 | — | 52% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.97 6.54–13.73 | 11.04 8.09–13.98 7.34–14.73 | 21.17 15.39–26.96 13.89–28.46 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 2.78 1.68–3.87 1.39–4.16 | 4.85 2.59–7.10 2.00–7.69 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.84 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.29 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.