Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.152.58safe0.46–2.400.30–2.000.76–4.41safer0.21–2.650.07–2.230.28–4.88
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.567.91safe2.49–6.211.82–5.304.31–11.52safer2.00–6.701.35–5.773.35–12.47
Total shots
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction13.639.9623.59safe9.70–17.556.40–13.5216.10–31.08safer8.61–18.655.44–14.4814.05–33.13
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.2616.18safe5.97–11.864.58–9.9410.55–21.80safer5.14–12.683.85–10.688.99–23.37
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.327.22safe2.02–5.781.67–4.983.69–10.76safer1.47–6.321.18–5.472.65–11.79
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.399.91safe3.31–7.742.39–6.395.70–14.13safer2.74–8.311.85–6.924.59–15.23
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction46.9251.27safe40.13–53.7144.49–58.06safer38.46–55.3842.82–59.73
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction416448864safe349–483381–514730–997safer331–501364–532694–1033
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction69.2573.81safe65.22–73.2869.49–78.13safer63.93–74.5768.18–79.44
Fouls
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3510.2123.56safe10.51–16.197.26–13.1517.77–29.34safer9.76–16.946.51–13.9016.27–30.84
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.013.77safe0.60–2.920.92–3.101.52–6.03safer0.30–3.220.63–3.390.93–6.62
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.084.17safe1.04–3.130.95–3.211.99–6.34safer0.77–3.400.66–3.501.43–6.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.765.18safe0.99–3.861.20–4.312.19–8.17safer0.60–4.250.78–4.741.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.15 0.30–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.58 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.88 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 7.91 4.31–11.52 3.35–12.47 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.63 9.70–17.55 8.61–18.65 | 9.96 6.40–13.52 5.44–14.48 | 23.59 16.10–31.08 14.05–33.13 | 74% 19% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.86 5.14–12.68 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.85–10.68 | 16.18 10.55–21.80 8.99–23.37 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.78 1.47–6.32 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.85–6.92 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 46.92 40.13–53.71 38.46–55.38 | 51.27 44.49–58.06 42.82–59.73 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–501 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.25 65.22–73.28 63.93–74.57 | 73.81 69.49–78.13 68.18–79.44 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.19 9.76–16.94 | 10.21 7.26–13.15 6.51–13.90 | 23.56 17.77–29.34 16.27–30.84 | 71% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.17 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 5.18 2.19–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+