Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.932.80safe0.91–2.850.07–1.780.98–4.63safer0.66–3.100.00–2.010.50–5.11
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.199.12safe4.07–7.791.45–4.935.51–12.72safer3.58–8.280.98–5.404.56–13.68
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.479.9827.45safe13.54–21.396.42–13.5419.96–34.94safer12.45–22.485.46–14.5017.91–36.99
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.596.5518.14safe8.65–14.533.87–9.2312.52–23.76safer7.82–15.363.13–9.9710.95–25.33
Blocked shots
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.128.39safe3.39–7.161.47–4.774.86–11.93safer2.85–7.700.98–5.273.82–12.97
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.253.6010.85safe5.03–9.461.60–5.606.64–15.06safer4.46–10.031.07–6.145.53–16.17
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8134.68safe59.02–72.6127.89–41.46safer57.35–74.2726.22–43.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction608296904safe541–675230–363770–1038safer522–693212–380735–1073
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction77.0365.79safe73.00–81.0661.47–70.12safer71.71–82.3560.16–71.43
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7111.7921.50safe6.88–12.558.84–14.7315.72–27.28safer6.12–13.318.09–15.4814.21–28.79
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.644.18safe1.38–3.700.54–2.731.92–6.43safer1.08–4.000.26–3.021.33–7.02
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.113.45safe0.29–2.380.98–3.241.27–5.62safer0.02–2.650.69–3.530.71–6.18
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.785.98safe0.77–3.642.22–5.342.99–8.98safer0.38–4.031.80–5.762.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.47 13.54–21.39 12.45–22.48 | 9.98 6.42–13.54 5.46–14.50 | 27.45 19.96–34.94 17.91–36.99 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.65–14.53 7.82–15.36 | 6.55 3.87–9.23 3.13–9.97 | 18.14 12.52–23.76 10.95–25.33 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.27 3.39–7.16 2.85–7.70 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.98–5.27 | 8.39 4.86–11.93 3.82–12.97 | 72% 18% |
| Corners | 7.25 5.03–9.46 4.46–10.03 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.85 6.64–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 83% |
| Possession % | 65.81 59.02–72.61 57.35–74.27 | 34.68 27.89–41.46 26.22–43.14 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 608 541–675 522–693 | 296 230–363 212–380 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.03 73.00–81.06 71.71–82.35 | 65.79 61.47–70.12 60.16–71.43 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 9.71 6.88–12.55 6.12–13.31 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 21.50 15.72–27.28 14.21–28.79 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.00 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 4.18 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.29–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.45 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.78 2.22–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.