Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.813.20safe1.42–3.360.00–1.671.38–5.02safer1.17–3.610.00–1.900.90–5.50
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.079.24safe4.32–8.041.32–4.815.64–12.85safer3.83–8.530.86–5.274.68–13.81
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.538.7725.29safe12.60–20.455.20–12.3317.81–32.78safer11.51–21.544.24–13.2915.76–34.83
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.825.6817.51safe8.88–14.773.00–8.3611.88–23.13safer8.05–15.602.26–9.1010.32–24.70
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.881.856.73safe2.99–6.760.20–3.513.20–10.27safer2.45–7.300.00–4.002.16–11.30
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.083.1410.22safe4.87–9.301.14–5.146.01–14.43safer4.30–9.870.60–5.674.90–15.54
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.1636.02safe57.37–70.9529.24–42.81safer55.70–72.6227.57–44.48
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction576286862safe509–643220–353729–996safer490–661202–370693–1032
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction74.8064.33safe70.77–78.8360.01–68.66safer69.48–80.1258.70–69.97
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6812.4423.12safe7.85–13.529.50–15.3917.34–28.91safer7.09–14.288.75–16.1415.84–30.41
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.563.144.70safe0.40–2.722.05–4.242.45–6.96safer0.10–3.021.76–4.521.86–7.54
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.203.52safe0.28–2.371.07–3.331.34–5.70safer0.01–2.640.78–3.620.79–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.083.845.92safe0.65–3.522.28–5.402.93–8.91safer0.26–3.911.86–5.822.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.04 3.83–8.53 | 3.07 1.32–4.81 0.86–5.27 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.81 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.53 12.60–20.45 11.51–21.54 | 8.77 5.20–12.33 4.24–13.29 | 25.29 17.81–32.78 15.76–34.83 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.82 8.88–14.77 8.05–15.60 | 5.68 3.00–8.36 2.26–9.10 | 17.51 11.88–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.88 2.99–6.76 2.45–7.30 | 1.85 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 6.73 3.20–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.08 4.87–9.30 4.30–9.87 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.60–5.67 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.16 57.37–70.95 55.70–72.62 | 36.02 29.24–42.81 27.57–44.48 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 576 509–643 490–661 | 286 220–353 202–370 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.80 70.77–78.83 69.48–80.12 | 64.33 60.01–68.66 58.70–69.97 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.85–13.52 7.09–14.28 | 12.44 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 23.12 17.34–28.91 15.84–30.41 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 3.14 2.05–4.24 1.76–4.52 | 4.70 2.45–6.96 1.86–7.54 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.28–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.84 2.28–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.