Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.133.10safe1.00–2.940.28–1.991.28–4.92safer0.75–3.190.05–2.220.80–5.40
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.4610.24safe3.92–7.642.72–6.206.63–13.84safer3.43–8.132.25–6.675.68–14.80
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4313.4829.91safe12.51–20.369.91–17.0422.42–37.40safer11.42–21.458.95–18.0020.37–39.45
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.458.1419.59safe8.51–14.395.46–10.8213.97–25.21safer7.68–15.224.72–11.5612.40–26.78
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.158.31safe2.28–6.042.50–5.804.77–11.84safer1.73–6.582.00–6.293.74–12.88
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.1710.04safe3.65–8.082.17–6.175.82–14.25safer3.08–8.651.64–6.704.72–15.36
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3547.41safe46.56–60.1440.63–54.20safer44.89–61.8138.96–55.87
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction509434943safe442–576368–501809–1077safer424–594350–518774–1112
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction75.0175.97safe70.99–79.0471.65–80.29safer69.69–80.3470.34–81.60
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.8625.07safe9.37–15.059.91–15.8019.29–30.85safer8.62–15.809.16–16.5517.78–32.35
Offsides
70%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.071.474.55safe1.91–4.230.38–2.572.29–6.80safer1.61–4.530.09–2.851.70–7.39
Yellow cards
30%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.213.92safe0.67–2.761.08–3.341.74–6.10safer0.40–3.030.79–3.631.19–6.66
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.846.95safe1.68–4.552.28–5.393.96–9.94safer1.29–4.941.86–5.823.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.00–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 57% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 10.24 6.63–13.84 5.68–14.80 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.43 12.51–20.36 11.42–21.45 | 13.48 9.91–17.04 8.95–18.00 | 29.91 22.42–37.40 20.37–39.45 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.51–14.39 7.68–15.22 | 8.14 5.46–10.82 4.72–11.56 | 19.59 13.97–25.21 12.40–26.78 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.74–12.88 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.08 3.08–8.65 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.64–6.70 | 10.04 5.82–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.35 46.56–60.14 44.89–61.81 | 47.41 40.63–54.20 38.96–55.87 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–594 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 943 809–1077 774–1112 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.01 70.99–79.04 69.69–80.34 | 75.97 71.65–80.29 70.34–81.60 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.62–15.80 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 25.07 19.29–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 3.07 1.91–4.23 1.61–4.53 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 4.55 2.29–6.80 1.70–7.39 | 70% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 30% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.95 3.96–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+