Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
24%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.670.822.49safe0.71–2.640.00–1.670.67–4.31safer0.46–2.890.00–1.900.19–4.79
Shots on target
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.043.018.05safe3.18–6.901.27–4.754.44–11.65safer2.69–7.390.80–5.223.49–12.61
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.498.9124.40safe11.57–19.425.34–12.4716.91–31.89safer10.48–20.514.38–13.4314.86–33.94
Shots in box
69%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction8.986.4915.47safe6.04–11.923.81–9.179.85–21.09safer5.21–12.753.07–9.918.28–22.66
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.942.607.54safe3.06–6.820.94–4.254.00–11.07safer2.51–7.370.45–4.742.97–12.11
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.719.78safe3.86–8.291.71–5.715.57–13.99safer3.29–8.861.17–6.244.46–15.10
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.7231.03safe61.93–75.5124.24–37.81safer60.26–77.1822.57–39.49
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction653273926safe586–720207–340792–1060safer568–738189–357757–1096
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction77.2465.21safe73.21–81.2760.89–69.54safer71.92–82.5759.58–70.85
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1313.1223.25safe7.29–12.9710.18–16.0717.47–29.03safer6.54–13.729.43–16.8115.96–30.54
Offsides
20%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.824.39safe0.41–2.731.73–3.912.14–6.65safer0.11–3.031.44–4.201.55–7.24
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.923.14safe0.18–2.280.79–3.050.97–5.32safer0.00–2.540.50–3.340.41–5.88
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.083.105.17safe0.64–3.511.54–4.652.18–8.17safer0.25–3.901.12–5.081.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.71–2.64 0.46–2.89 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 58% 24% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.04 3.18–6.90 2.69–7.39 | 3.01 1.27–4.75 0.80–5.22 | 8.05 4.44–11.65 3.49–12.61 | 70% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.49 11.57–19.42 10.48–20.51 | 8.91 5.34–12.47 4.38–13.43 | 24.40 16.91–31.89 14.86–33.94 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 8.98 6.04–11.92 5.21–12.75 | 6.49 3.81–9.17 3.07–9.91 | 15.47 9.85–21.09 8.28–22.66 | 69% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.06–6.82 2.51–7.37 | 2.60 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 7.54 4.00–11.07 2.97–12.11 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 68.72 61.93–75.51 60.26–77.18 | 31.03 24.24–37.81 22.57–39.49 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 653 586–720 568–738 | 273 207–340 189–357 | 926 792–1060 757–1096 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.24 73.21–81.27 71.92–82.57 | 65.21 60.89–69.54 59.58–70.85 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.13 7.29–12.97 6.54–13.72 | 13.12 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.81 | 23.25 17.47–29.03 15.96–30.54 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 2.82 1.73–3.91 1.44–4.20 | 4.39 2.14–6.65 1.55–7.24 | 20% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.54 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.14 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 5.17 2.18–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.