Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.332.90safe0.60–2.530.48–2.191.08–4.72safer0.35–2.780.25–2.420.60–5.20
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.529.52safe3.13–6.862.78–6.275.92–13.13safer2.64–7.352.31–6.734.96–14.08
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9912.8329.82safe13.07–20.929.27–16.3922.34–37.31safer11.98–22.018.31–17.3520.29–39.36
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.718.6018.31safe6.77–12.665.92–11.2812.69–23.94safer5.94–13.495.18–12.0211.12–25.50
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.338.03safe2.82–6.581.68–4.994.50–11.57safer2.28–7.131.19–5.483.46–12.61
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.6310.01safe3.17–7.602.63–6.635.80–14.23safer2.60–8.172.09–7.164.69–15.34
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.4547.35safe46.66–60.2440.56–54.13safer44.99–61.9138.89–55.81
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction469424893safe402–536357–490759–1026safer384–555340–508723–1062
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction71.1872.45safe67.15–75.2168.13–76.78safer65.86–76.5066.82–78.09
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5710.8722.44safe8.73–14.417.93–13.8216.66–28.23safer7.98–15.167.18–14.5715.16–29.73
Offsides
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.943.33safe0.23–2.550.84–3.031.07–5.58safer0.00–2.850.55–3.320.48–6.17
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.953.98safe0.98–3.080.82–3.081.80–6.16safer0.71–3.340.53–3.371.24–6.71
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.306.23safe1.50–4.371.74–4.853.24–9.22safer1.11–4.761.32–5.282.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.53 0.35–2.78 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 43% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 4.52 2.78–6.27 2.31–6.73 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 16.99 13.07–20.92 11.98–22.01 | 12.83 9.27–16.39 8.31–17.35 | 29.82 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.77–12.66 5.94–13.49 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.18–12.02 | 18.31 12.69–23.94 11.12–25.50 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.28–7.13 | 3.33 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.61 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.09–7.16 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.34 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.45 46.66–60.24 44.99–61.91 | 47.35 40.56–54.13 38.89–55.81 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–555 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.18 67.15–75.21 65.86–76.50 | 72.45 68.13–76.78 66.82–78.09 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.41 7.98–15.16 | 10.87 7.93–13.82 7.18–14.57 | 22.44 16.66–28.23 15.16–29.73 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.71 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+