Championship·Regular Season - 25·
Championship·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.132.43safe0.33–2.260.28–1.980.60–4.25safer0.08–2.510.05–2.210.12–4.73
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.567.85safe2.43–6.161.82–5.304.25–11.46safer1.94–6.651.35–5.773.29–12.41
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2410.5723.81safe9.31–17.167.01–14.1316.32–31.30safer8.22–18.256.05–15.0914.27–33.35
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.607.2515.85safe5.66–11.544.57–9.9310.23–21.48safer4.83–12.373.84–10.678.66–23.04
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.267.28safe2.13–5.901.61–4.913.74–10.81safer1.59–6.441.12–5.412.71–11.85
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.329.84safe3.31–7.742.32–6.325.63–14.06safer2.74–8.311.79–6.854.52–15.16
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.2346.75safe47.44–61.0239.96–53.53safer45.77–62.6938.29–55.20
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction467396863safe400–535329–462730–997safer382–553312–480694–1033
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction71.5371.86safe67.50–75.5667.54–76.18safer66.21–76.8566.23–77.49
Fouls
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2414.3124.55safe7.40–13.0711.37–17.2618.77–30.33safer6.64–13.8310.62–18.0017.26–31.84
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.243.95safe0.55–2.871.15–3.331.69–6.20safer0.25–3.170.86–3.621.10–6.79
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.404.17safe0.72–2.821.27–3.531.99–6.35safer0.46–3.090.98–3.821.43–6.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.865.28safe0.99–3.861.30–4.422.29–8.27safer0.60–4.250.88–4.841.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 40% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.24 9.31–17.16 8.22–18.25 | 10.57 7.01–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 23.81 16.32–31.30 14.27–33.35 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.66–11.54 4.83–12.37 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.84–10.67 | 15.85 10.23–21.48 8.66–23.04 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.12–5.41 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.23 47.44–61.02 45.77–62.69 | 46.75 39.96–53.53 38.29–55.20 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.53 67.50–75.56 66.21–76.85 | 71.86 67.54–76.18 66.23–77.49 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.40–13.07 6.64–13.83 | 14.31 11.37–17.26 10.62–18.00 | 24.55 18.77–30.33 17.26–31.84 | 18% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.24 1.15–3.33 0.86–3.62 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.43–6.90 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.28 2.29–8.27 1.48–9.09 | 34% 18% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.