Championship·Regular Season - 30·
Championship·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.102.40safe0.33–2.260.25–1.960.57–4.22safer0.07–2.510.02–2.180.09–4.70
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.677.99safe2.46–6.191.92–5.414.39–11.60safer1.97–6.681.46–5.873.43–12.55
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3910.5323.92safe9.47–17.326.97–14.0916.43–31.41safer8.38–18.416.01–15.0514.38–33.46
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.717.7416.45safe5.77–11.655.06–10.4210.83–22.07safer4.94–12.484.32–11.169.26–23.64
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.327.51safe2.30–6.071.67–4.983.97–11.04safer1.76–6.611.18–5.472.94–12.08
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.5910.35safe3.55–7.982.59–6.596.14–14.57safer2.98–8.552.06–7.125.03–15.67
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.1550.69safe43.35–56.9443.90–57.47safer41.69–58.6142.23–59.14
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction382388770safe315–449321–454636–903safer297–467304–472600–939
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction64.3469.47safe60.31–68.3765.15–73.80safer59.02–69.6663.84–75.11
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1112.4023.50safe8.27–13.949.45–15.3417.72–29.28safer7.51–14.708.70–16.0916.22–30.79
Offsides
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.514.22safe0.55–2.871.42–3.601.97–6.47safer0.25–3.171.13–3.891.38–7.06
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.184.21safe0.98–3.081.05–3.312.03–6.39safer0.72–3.350.76–3.601.48–6.95
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.895.33safe1.00–3.871.33–4.442.33–8.32safer0.61–4.260.91–4.871.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 2.40 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 41% 28% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 7.99 4.39–11.60 3.43–12.55 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 10.53 6.97–14.09 6.01–15.05 | 23.92 16.43–31.41 14.38–33.46 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.77–11.65 4.94–12.48 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 16.45 10.83–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.12 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.67 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 50.15 43.35–56.94 41.69–58.61 | 50.69 43.90–57.47 42.23–59.14 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 388 321–454 304–472 | 770 636–903 600–939 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.34 60.31–68.37 59.02–69.66 | 69.47 65.15–73.80 63.84–75.11 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 23.50 17.72–29.28 16.22–30.79 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.51 1.42–3.60 1.13–3.89 | 4.22 1.97–6.47 1.38–7.06 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.91–4.87 | 5.33 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.