Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.242.73safe0.52–2.460.38–2.090.91–4.55safer0.27–2.710.16–2.320.43–5.03
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.298.64safe2.50–6.222.54–6.035.04–12.25safer2.01–6.712.08–6.494.08–13.20
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8112.5525.36safe8.88–16.738.99–16.1117.87–32.85safer7.79–17.828.03–17.0715.82–34.90
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.397.9316.32safe5.45–11.345.25–10.6110.70–21.95safer4.62–12.174.51–11.359.13–23.51
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.777.16safe1.52–5.282.11–5.423.63–10.70safer0.97–5.831.62–5.912.59–11.74
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.539.58safe2.83–7.262.53–6.535.36–13.79safer2.26–7.841.99–7.064.25–14.90
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.8449.63safe44.05–57.6342.84–56.41safer42.38–59.3041.17–58.08
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction494464958safe426–561397–530824–1091safer408–579380–548788–1127
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction71.2572.63safe67.22–75.2868.31–76.96safer65.93–76.5867.00–78.27
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8512.3722.23safe7.02–12.699.43–15.3116.44–28.01safer6.26–13.458.68–16.0614.94–29.51
Offsides
69%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.971.434.39safe1.81–4.130.33–2.522.14–6.65safer1.51–4.430.04–2.811.55–7.24
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.133.81safe0.64–2.741.00–3.251.63–5.99safer0.37–3.000.71–3.551.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.055.84safe1.35–4.221.49–4.612.84–8.83safer0.96–4.611.07–5.032.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.22 2.01–6.71 | 4.29 2.54–6.03 2.08–6.49 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.20 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.81 8.88–16.73 7.79–17.82 | 12.55 8.99–16.11 8.03–17.07 | 25.36 17.87–32.85 15.82–34.90 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.39 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 16.32 10.70–21.95 9.13–23.51 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.83 | 3.77 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.74 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.84 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 1.99–7.06 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.90 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 50.84 44.05–57.63 42.38–59.30 | 49.63 42.84–56.41 41.17–58.08 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 494 426–561 408–579 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 958 824–1091 788–1127 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.25 67.22–75.28 65.93–76.58 | 72.63 68.31–76.96 67.00–78.27 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 9.85 7.02–12.69 6.26–13.45 | 12.37 9.43–15.31 8.68–16.06 | 22.23 16.44–28.01 14.94–29.51 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.97 1.81–4.13 1.51–4.43 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 4.39 2.14–6.65 1.55–7.24 | 69% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.71–3.55 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.05 1.49–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+