Championship·Regular Season - 30·
Championship·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.482.72safe0.28–2.210.62–2.330.90–4.54safer0.03–2.460.39–2.560.42–5.02
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.589.12safe2.68–6.402.84–6.325.52–12.73safer2.19–6.892.37–6.794.56–13.68
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3912.6426.03safe9.47–17.329.07–16.2018.54–33.51safer8.37–18.418.11–17.1616.49–35.57
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.989.2318.21safe6.04–11.926.55–11.9112.59–23.83safer5.21–12.755.81–12.6511.02–25.40
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.207.98safe1.91–5.672.54–5.854.45–11.52safer1.36–6.212.05–6.343.41–12.56
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.3610.83safe3.26–7.693.36–7.366.62–15.05safer2.69–8.262.82–7.895.51–16.15
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.7056.73safe36.91–50.5049.94–63.51safer35.24–52.1648.27–65.18
Passes
15%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction413534947safe346–480468–601813–1081safer327–498450–618778–1116
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction64.5674.64safe60.54–68.5970.32–78.97safer59.24–69.8969.01–80.28
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0411.5721.61safe7.20–12.888.62–14.5115.82–27.39safer6.44–13.637.87–15.2614.32–28.89
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.683.56safe0.72–3.040.59–2.781.31–5.82safer0.42–3.340.30–3.060.72–6.41
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.843.36safe0.47–2.570.71–2.971.18–5.54safer0.20–2.830.42–3.260.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.175.98safe1.37–4.241.61–4.732.99–8.97safer0.98–4.631.19–5.152.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.58 2.84–6.32 2.37–6.79 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.47–17.32 8.37–18.41 | 12.64 9.07–16.20 8.11–17.16 | 26.03 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.57 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.98 6.04–11.92 5.21–12.75 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 18.21 12.59–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.20 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.56 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.82–7.89 | 10.83 6.62–15.05 5.51–16.15 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 43.70 36.91–50.50 35.24–52.16 | 56.73 49.94–63.51 48.27–65.18 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 327–498 | 534 468–601 450–618 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 15% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.56 60.54–68.59 59.24–69.89 | 74.64 70.32–78.97 69.01–80.28 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.20–12.88 6.44–13.63 | 11.57 8.62–14.51 7.87–15.26 | 21.61 15.82–27.39 14.32–28.89 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.06 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.09 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.17 1.61–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.