Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.873.10safe0.27–2.201.01–2.721.28–4.92safer0.01–2.450.78–2.950.80–5.40
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.299.42safe2.27–6.003.55–7.035.82–13.03safer1.78–6.493.08–7.504.86–13.98
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1414.6026.74safe8.22–16.0711.04–18.1719.26–34.23safer7.12–17.1610.08–19.1317.21–36.28
Shots in box
26%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8710.0417.91safe4.93–10.817.36–12.7212.29–23.53safer4.10–11.646.62–13.4610.72–25.10
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.117.09safe1.10–4.862.45–5.763.55–10.62safer0.56–5.411.96–6.252.52–11.66
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.289.91safe2.42–6.853.28–7.285.70–14.13safer1.85–7.422.75–7.814.59–15.23
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.6052.12safe41.81–55.3945.34–58.91safer40.14–57.0643.67–60.58
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction404442845safe337–471375–508712–979safer318–489358–526676–1015
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction68.1074.63safe64.07–72.1370.30–78.95safer62.78–73.4268.99–80.26
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3512.0924.43safe9.51–15.189.14–15.0318.65–30.21safer8.75–15.948.39–15.7817.15–31.72
Offsides
49%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.146.72safe2.42–4.742.05–4.234.46–8.97safer2.12–5.041.76–4.523.87–9.56
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.114.23safe1.07–3.170.98–3.242.05–6.41safer0.80–3.430.69–3.531.49–6.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.836.04safe1.77–4.651.27–4.393.05–9.03safer1.39–5.030.85–4.812.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.14 8.22–16.07 7.12–17.16 | 14.60 11.04–18.17 10.08–19.13 | 26.74 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.81 4.10–11.64 | 10.04 7.36–12.72 6.62–13.46 | 17.91 12.29–23.53 10.72–25.10 | 26% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.56–5.41 | 4.11 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.42–6.85 1.85–7.42 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 48.60 41.81–55.39 40.14–57.06 | 52.12 45.34–58.91 43.67–60.58 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 318–489 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 845 712–979 676–1015 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.10 64.07–72.13 62.78–73.42 | 74.63 70.30–78.95 68.99–80.26 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.35 9.51–15.18 8.75–15.94 | 12.09 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.78 | 24.43 18.65–30.21 17.15–31.72 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 3.58 2.42–4.74 2.12–5.04 | 3.14 2.05–4.23 1.76–4.52 | 6.72 4.46–8.97 3.87–9.56 | 49% 16% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.96 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.65 1.39–5.03 | 2.83 1.27–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+