Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.592.57safe0.02–1.950.73–2.440.75–4.39safer0.00–2.200.50–2.670.27–4.87
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.818.21safe1.54–5.273.06–6.554.61–11.82safer1.05–5.762.60–7.023.65–12.77
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8313.4824.31safe6.91–14.769.92–17.0416.82–31.80safer5.82–15.858.96–18.0014.77–33.85
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.029.1716.19safe4.08–9.966.49–11.8510.57–21.81safer3.25–10.795.75–12.599.00–23.38
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.774.206.97safe0.89–4.662.54–5.853.43–10.50safer0.35–5.202.05–6.342.40–11.54
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.406.0010.40safe2.19–6.624.00–8.006.19–14.61safer1.62–7.193.47–8.535.08–15.72
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.1160.12safe33.32–46.9053.33–66.90safer31.65–48.5751.66–68.57
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction324484808safe257–391417–550674–942safer239–409400–568639–977
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction62.6272.81safe58.59–66.6568.49–77.14safer57.30–67.9467.18–78.45
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9811.9024.88safe10.14–15.828.96–14.8519.10–30.67safer9.39–16.578.21–15.6017.60–32.17
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.513.95safe1.28–3.600.41–2.601.69–6.20safer0.98–3.900.12–2.891.10–6.79
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.914.08safe1.13–3.220.78–3.041.91–6.26safer0.86–3.490.49–3.331.35–6.82
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.365.39safe1.59–4.470.80–3.922.40–8.38safer1.21–4.850.38–4.341.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 23% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.41 1.54–5.27 1.05–5.76 | 4.81 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.21 4.61–11.82 3.65–12.77 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 10.83 6.91–14.76 5.82–15.85 | 13.48 9.92–17.04 8.96–18.00 | 24.31 16.82–31.80 14.77–33.85 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.02 4.08–9.96 3.25–10.79 | 9.17 6.49–11.85 5.75–12.59 | 16.19 10.57–21.81 9.00–23.38 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 4.20 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.40 2.19–6.62 1.62–7.19 | 6.00 4.00–8.00 3.47–8.53 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 40.11 33.32–46.90 31.65–48.57 | 60.12 53.33–66.90 51.66–68.57 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–409 | 484 417–550 400–568 | 808 674–942 639–977 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.62 58.59–66.65 57.30–67.94 | 72.81 68.49–77.14 67.18–78.45 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.98 10.14–15.82 9.39–16.57 | 11.90 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.60 | 24.88 19.10–30.67 17.60–32.17 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 4.08 1.91–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.47 1.21–4.85 | 2.36 0.80–3.92 0.38–4.34 | 5.39 2.40–8.38 1.58–9.19 | 53% 17% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.