Championship·Regular Season - 30·
Championship·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.833.04safe0.24–2.180.97–2.681.21–4.86safer0.00–2.430.74–2.910.73–5.34
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.169.23safe2.20–5.933.42–6.905.62–12.83safer1.71–6.422.95–7.374.67–13.79
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3014.4227.72safe9.37–17.2210.86–17.9820.23–35.20safer8.28–18.319.90–18.9418.18–37.26
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2810.0219.30safe6.33–12.227.34–12.7013.67–24.92safer5.50–13.056.60–13.4412.11–26.49
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.187.91safe1.85–5.622.53–5.834.38–11.45safer1.31–6.162.03–6.323.34–12.48
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.005.2710.27safe2.78–7.213.27–7.276.05–14.48safer2.21–7.782.74–7.814.95–15.59
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.9859.46safe34.19–47.7752.68–66.25safer32.52–49.4451.01–67.92
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction357525881safe289–424458–591747–1015safer271–442441–609712–1051
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction67.5377.19safe63.50–71.5672.86–81.51safer62.21–72.8671.55–82.82
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.299.9722.25safe9.45–15.127.02–12.9116.47–28.03safer8.69–15.886.27–13.6614.97–29.54
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.013.74safe0.57–2.890.91–3.101.48–5.99safer0.27–3.190.63–3.390.89–6.58
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.713.76safe1.00–3.100.58–2.841.59–5.94safer0.74–3.370.29–3.131.03–6.50
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.815.96safe1.72–4.591.25–4.362.96–8.95safer1.33–4.970.83–4.792.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.83 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 14.42 10.86–17.98 9.90–18.94 | 27.72 20.23–35.20 18.18–37.26 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.33–12.22 5.50–13.05 | 10.02 7.34–12.70 6.60–13.44 | 19.30 13.67–24.92 12.11–26.49 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 4.18 2.53–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.78–7.21 2.21–7.78 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 40.98 34.19–47.77 32.52–49.44 | 59.46 52.68–66.25 51.01–67.92 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 357 289–424 271–442 | 525 458–591 441–609 | 881 747–1015 712–1051 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.53 63.50–71.56 62.21–72.86 | 77.19 72.86–81.51 71.55–82.82 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.45–15.12 8.69–15.88 | 9.97 7.02–12.91 6.27–13.66 | 22.25 16.47–28.03 14.97–29.54 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.76 1.59–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.97 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.83–4.79 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.