Championship·Regular Season - 30·
Championship·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.293.09safe0.83–2.770.43–2.141.27–4.91safer0.58–3.020.20–2.370.79–5.39
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.099.22safe3.27–6.992.35–5.845.62–12.83safer2.78–7.481.89–6.304.66–13.78
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2711.7626.03safe10.34–18.198.20–15.3218.54–33.52safer9.25–19.297.24–16.2816.49–35.57
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.697.4417.13safe6.75–12.644.76–10.1211.51–22.75safer5.92–13.474.02–10.869.94–24.32
Blocked shots
46%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.577.34safe1.89–5.661.91–5.223.80–10.87safer1.35–6.201.42–5.712.77–11.91
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.3510.47safe3.91–8.342.35–6.356.26–14.69safer3.34–8.911.82–6.885.15–15.79
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.7249.63safe43.93–57.5142.85–56.42safer42.26–59.1841.18–58.09
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction428408836safe361–495342–474702–969safer342–513324–492666–1005
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction67.1970.82safe63.16–71.2266.50–75.14safer61.87–72.5165.19–76.45
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6311.1821.81safe7.79–13.478.24–14.1316.03–27.60safer7.04–14.237.49–14.8814.53–29.10
Offsides
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.095.48safe2.24–4.561.00–3.183.23–7.74safer1.93–4.860.71–3.472.64–8.33
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.793.20safe0.36–2.460.66–2.921.02–5.38safer0.10–2.730.37–3.210.47–5.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
32%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.406.13safe1.29–4.171.85–4.963.14–9.12safer0.91–4.551.42–5.382.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 49% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.09 2.35–5.84 1.89–6.30 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.29 | 11.76 8.20–15.32 7.24–16.28 | 26.03 18.54–33.52 16.49–35.57 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.64 5.92–13.47 | 7.44 4.76–10.12 4.02–10.86 | 17.13 11.51–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.57 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 46% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 10.47 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.79 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.72 43.93–57.51 42.26–59.18 | 49.63 42.85–56.42 41.18–58.09 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 342–513 | 408 342–474 324–492 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.19 63.16–71.22 61.87–72.51 | 70.82 66.50–75.14 65.19–76.45 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.79–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 21.81 16.03–27.60 14.53–29.10 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 3.40 2.24–4.56 1.93–4.86 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 5.48 3.23–7.74 2.64–8.33 | 63% 15% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 32% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.