Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.733.05safe0.35–2.290.87–2.581.23–4.87safer0.10–2.540.64–2.810.75–5.35
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.109.47safe2.51–6.243.35–6.845.87–13.08safer2.02–6.732.89–7.304.91–14.03
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1512.4626.62safe10.23–18.088.90–16.0319.13–34.10safer9.14–19.177.94–16.9917.08–36.15
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.798.6917.48safe5.84–11.736.01–11.3711.85–23.10safer5.01–12.565.27–12.1110.29–24.67
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.908.37safe2.59–6.352.25–5.564.84–11.91safer2.05–6.901.76–6.053.80–12.94
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.8610.04safe2.97–7.392.86–6.865.82–14.25safer2.39–7.972.32–7.394.72–15.36
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.7958.12safe36.00–49.5851.33–64.90safer34.33–51.2549.66–66.57
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction353496849safe285–420430–563715–983safer267–438412–580680–1018
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction65.5772.92safe61.54–69.6068.60–77.25safer60.25–70.8967.29–78.56
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0111.3322.34safe8.17–13.858.39–14.2816.56–28.12safer7.42–14.607.64–15.0315.06–29.63
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.524.03safe0.35–2.671.43–3.611.77–6.28safer0.05–2.971.14–3.901.18–6.87
Yellow cards
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.543.17safe0.58–2.680.41–2.660.99–5.34safer0.31–2.950.12–2.960.43–5.90
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.086.04safe1.52–4.391.53–4.643.05–9.03safer1.13–4.781.10–5.062.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.73 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 5.10 3.35–6.84 2.89–7.30 | 9.47 5.87–13.08 4.91–14.03 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.15 10.23–18.08 9.14–19.17 | 12.46 8.90–16.03 7.94–16.99 | 26.62 19.13–34.10 17.08–36.15 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.79 5.84–11.73 5.01–12.56 | 8.69 6.01–11.37 5.27–12.11 | 17.48 11.85–23.10 10.29–24.67 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.05–6.90 | 3.90 2.25–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 8.37 4.84–11.91 3.80–12.94 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.32–7.39 | 10.04 5.82–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 42.79 36.00–49.58 34.33–51.25 | 58.12 51.33–64.90 49.66–66.57 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 353 285–420 267–438 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.57 61.54–69.60 60.25–70.89 | 72.92 68.60–77.25 67.29–78.56 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.17–13.85 7.42–14.60 | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 22.34 16.56–28.12 15.06–29.63 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.52 1.43–3.61 1.14–3.90 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.95 | 1.54 0.41–2.66 0.12–2.96 | 3.17 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+