Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.082.54safe0.49–2.430.22–1.930.71–4.36safer0.24–2.680.00–2.160.23–4.84
Shots on target
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.587.47safe2.03–5.761.83–5.323.87–11.08safer1.54–6.251.37–5.792.91–12.03
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5012.3025.80safe9.58–17.438.73–15.8618.31–33.29safer8.49–18.527.78–16.8216.26–35.34
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.197.9316.11safe5.24–11.135.25–10.6110.49–21.74safer4.42–11.964.51–11.358.92–23.30
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.788.23safe2.57–6.332.13–5.434.69–11.76safer2.02–6.871.64–5.933.66–12.80
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.6410.37safe3.52–7.942.64–6.646.16–14.59safer2.94–8.522.11–7.185.05–15.69
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8344.17safe49.04–62.6237.38–50.95safer47.37–64.2935.71–52.62
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction476360837safe409–544294–427703–970safer391–562276–444667–1006
Pass accuracy %
46%
48%
homeawayprediction67.9868.16safe63.95–72.0163.84–72.48safer62.65–73.3062.53–73.79
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2812.7823.07safe7.45–13.129.84–15.7317.28–28.85safer6.69–13.889.09–16.4815.78–30.35
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.473.12safe0.49–2.810.37–2.560.87–5.37safer0.19–3.110.08–2.850.28–5.96
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.633.16safe0.49–2.580.50–2.760.98–5.34safer0.22–2.850.21–3.050.43–5.90
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.755.17safe0.98–3.851.20–4.312.18–8.17safer0.59–4.240.77–4.741.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.03–5.76 1.54–6.25 | 3.58 1.83–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 7.47 3.87–11.08 2.91–12.03 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.50 9.58–17.43 8.49–18.52 | 12.30 8.73–15.86 7.78–16.82 | 25.80 18.31–33.29 16.26–35.34 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.24–11.13 4.42–11.96 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 16.11 10.49–21.74 8.92–23.30 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.78 2.13–5.43 1.64–5.93 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.94 2.94–8.52 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.18 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.83 49.04–62.62 47.37–64.29 | 44.17 37.38–50.95 35.71–52.62 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 476 409–544 391–562 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 837 703–970 667–1006 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.98 63.95–72.01 62.65–73.30 | 68.16 63.84–72.48 62.53–73.79 | — | 46% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 12.78 9.84–15.73 9.09–16.48 | 23.07 17.28–28.85 15.78–30.35 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.49–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.16 0.98–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 2.75 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 5.17 2.18–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+