Championship·Regular Season - 30·
Championship·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.152.73safe0.62–2.550.29–2.000.91–4.56safer0.36–2.800.07–2.230.43–5.04
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.129.25safe3.27–6.992.37–5.865.64–12.85safer2.78–7.481.91–6.324.69–13.81
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9612.2928.25safe12.04–19.898.73–15.8520.77–35.74safer10.94–20.987.77–16.8118.71–37.79
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.908.0217.91safe6.95–12.845.34–10.7012.29–23.54safer6.12–13.674.60–11.4410.72–25.10
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.017.61safe2.72–6.491.35–4.664.08–11.15safer2.18–7.030.86–5.153.04–12.18
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.3110.05safe3.52–7.952.31–6.315.84–14.26safer2.95–8.521.78–6.854.73–15.37
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.5045.16safe47.71–61.2938.37–51.94safer46.04–62.9636.70–53.62
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction470383853safe403–538317–450720–987safer385–556299–467684–1023
Pass accuracy %
48%
46%
homeawayprediction69.9369.74safe65.90–73.9665.41–74.06safer64.61–75.2664.10–75.37
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4311.9423.37safe8.59–14.269.00–14.8917.59–29.15safer7.83–15.028.25–15.6416.08–30.66
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.134.02safe0.73–3.051.03–3.221.76–6.27safer0.43–3.350.75–3.511.17–6.86
Yellow cards
36%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.334.42safe1.04–3.141.20–3.462.24–6.59safer0.77–3.400.91–3.751.68–7.15
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.165.82safe1.22–4.091.61–4.722.83–8.81safer0.84–4.481.18–5.142.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.62–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.12 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.04–19.89 10.94–20.98 | 12.29 8.73–15.85 7.77–16.81 | 28.25 20.77–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.95–12.84 6.12–13.67 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 17.91 12.29–23.54 10.72–25.10 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.85 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.50 47.71–61.29 46.04–62.96 | 45.16 38.37–51.94 36.70–53.62 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 470 403–538 385–556 | 383 317–450 299–467 | 853 720–987 684–1023 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.93 65.90–73.96 64.61–75.26 | 69.74 65.41–74.06 64.10–75.37 | — | 48% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.37 17.59–29.15 16.08–30.66 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 2.13 1.03–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.42 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 36% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.84–4.48 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.02–9.63 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+