Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.132.53safe0.43–2.360.28–1.990.70–4.35safer0.17–2.610.05–2.220.22–4.83
Shots on target
55%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.658.14safe2.62–6.351.91–5.394.53–11.74safer2.13–6.841.44–5.863.58–12.70
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8710.5524.42safe9.95–17.806.98–14.1116.93–31.91safer8.86–18.896.03–15.0714.88–33.96
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.157.0816.24safe6.21–12.094.40–9.7710.61–21.86safer5.38–12.923.67–10.509.05–23.43
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.016.75safe1.86–5.621.36–4.673.22–10.29safer1.31–6.160.87–5.162.18–11.32
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.409.76safe3.14–7.572.40–6.405.54–13.97safer2.57–8.141.87–6.944.44–15.08
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.0052.40safe41.21–54.7945.61–59.18safer39.54–56.4643.94–60.85
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction454513967safe387–521447–580834–1101safer369–539429–597798–1137
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction74.1276.18safe70.09–78.1571.85–80.50safer68.80–79.4570.55–81.81
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1212.6623.78safe8.28–13.969.72–15.6118.00–29.56safer7.52–14.718.97–16.3616.49–31.07
Offsides
54%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.681.944.62safe1.52–3.840.85–3.032.37–6.88safer1.22–4.150.56–3.321.78–7.47
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.023.57safe0.50–2.590.89–3.151.39–5.75safer0.23–2.860.60–3.440.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
34%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.885.33safe1.02–3.891.32–4.432.34–8.33safer0.63–4.280.89–4.861.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.43–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 43% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 55% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.95–17.80 8.86–18.89 | 10.55 6.98–14.11 6.03–15.07 | 24.42 16.93–31.91 14.88–33.96 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 7.08 4.40–9.77 3.67–10.50 | 16.24 10.61–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.75 3.22–10.29 2.18–11.32 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.94 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.00 41.21–54.79 39.54–56.46 | 52.40 45.61–59.18 43.94–60.85 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–539 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.12 70.09–78.15 68.80–79.45 | 76.18 71.85–80.50 70.55–81.81 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.28–13.96 7.52–14.71 | 12.66 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 23.78 18.00–29.56 16.49–31.07 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.68 1.52–3.84 1.22–4.15 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 4.62 2.37–6.88 1.78–7.47 | 54% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 2.88 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.86 | 5.33 2.34–8.33 1.53–9.14 | 34% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.