Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.530.902.44safe0.57–2.500.05–1.750.61–4.26safer0.32–2.750.00–1.980.13–4.74
Shots on target
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.408.08safe2.82–6.541.66–5.144.47–11.68safer2.33–7.031.19–5.613.52–12.64
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1010.2824.37safe10.17–18.026.71–13.8416.88–31.86safer9.08–19.115.75–14.8014.83–33.91
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.206.4416.64safe7.26–13.143.76–9.1311.02–22.27safer6.43–13.973.03–9.869.45–23.83
Blocked shots
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.242.837.08safe2.36–6.131.18–4.483.54–10.61safer1.82–6.670.69–4.982.50–11.65
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.749.64safe3.69–8.121.74–5.745.43–13.86safer3.12–8.691.20–6.274.32–14.96
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.1842.60safe50.39–63.9735.81–49.38safer48.72–65.6434.14–51.05
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction525367892safe457–592301–434758–1025safer439–610283–451722–1061
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction69.6267.90safe65.59–73.6463.58–72.23safer64.29–74.9462.27–73.54
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.4822.30safe7.99–13.668.53–14.4216.52–28.09safer7.23–14.427.79–15.1715.02–29.59
Offsides
34%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.552.95safe0.23–2.550.46–2.650.69–5.20safer0.00–2.860.17–2.930.10–5.79
Yellow cards
26%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.873.13safe0.21–2.310.75–3.000.96–5.31safer0.00–2.580.45–3.290.40–5.87
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.215.70safe1.06–3.931.66–4.772.71–8.70safer0.67–4.321.23–5.191.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 0.90 0.05–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.44 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.74 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 61% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.10 10.17–18.02 9.08–19.11 | 10.28 6.71–13.84 5.75–14.80 | 24.37 16.88–31.86 14.83–33.91 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.20 7.26–13.14 6.43–13.97 | 6.44 3.76–9.13 3.03–9.86 | 16.64 11.02–22.27 9.45–23.83 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.36–6.13 1.82–6.67 | 2.83 1.18–4.48 0.69–4.98 | 7.08 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.65 | 63% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.69–8.12 3.12–8.69 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.20–6.27 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.18 50.39–63.97 48.72–65.64 | 42.60 35.81–49.38 34.14–51.05 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 525 457–592 439–610 | 367 301–434 283–451 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.62 65.59–73.64 64.29–74.94 | 67.90 63.58–72.23 62.27–73.54 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 11.48 8.53–14.42 7.79–15.17 | 22.30 16.52–28.09 15.02–29.59 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.86 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 2.95 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 34% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 1.87 0.75–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.13 0.96–5.31 0.40–5.87 | 26% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 5.70 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 30% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.