Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.482.92safe0.47–2.410.63–2.341.10–4.74safer0.22–2.660.40–2.570.62–5.22
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.449.02safe2.71–6.442.70–6.195.41–12.62safer2.22–6.932.24–6.654.46–13.58
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5212.7327.25safe10.59–18.449.17–16.3019.76–34.74safer9.50–19.538.21–17.2617.71–36.79
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.609.0317.62safe5.65–11.546.35–11.7112.00–23.25safer4.82–12.375.61–12.4510.43–24.81
Blocked shots
59%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.756.57safe1.94–5.701.09–4.403.03–10.10safer1.40–6.250.60–4.892.00–11.14
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.0610.40safe3.12–7.553.06–7.066.18–14.61safer2.55–8.122.53–7.595.07–15.72
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.5750.12safe42.78–56.3643.33–56.90safer41.11–58.0341.66–58.57
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction437426863safe370–505359–492730–997safer352–523342–510694–1033
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.2671.02safe63.23–71.2966.69–75.34safer61.94–72.5965.38–76.65
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6710.6822.35safe8.83–14.517.73–13.6216.57–28.13safer8.08–15.266.98–14.3715.06–29.63
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.443.625.06safe0.28–2.602.53–4.712.81–7.32safer0.00–2.902.24–5.002.22–7.91
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.723.31safe0.55–2.650.59–2.851.14–5.49safer0.28–2.910.30–3.140.58–6.05
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.075.91safe1.41–4.281.51–4.622.92–8.91safer1.02–4.671.09–5.052.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 37% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.44 2.22–6.93 | 4.44 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.65 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.52 10.59–18.44 9.50–19.53 | 12.73 9.17–16.30 8.21–17.26 | 27.25 19.76–34.74 17.71–36.79 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.65–11.54 4.82–12.37 | 9.03 6.35–11.71 5.61–12.45 | 17.62 12.00–23.25 10.43–24.81 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 2.75 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 59% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.12 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.72 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 49.57 42.78–56.36 41.11–58.03 | 50.12 43.33–56.90 41.66–58.57 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 437 370–505 352–523 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.26 63.23–71.29 61.94–72.59 | 71.02 66.69–75.34 65.38–76.65 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.83–14.51 8.08–15.26 | 10.68 7.73–13.62 6.98–14.37 | 22.35 16.57–28.13 15.06–29.63 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 3.62 2.53–4.71 2.24–5.00 | 5.06 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.31 1.14–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+