Championship·Regular Season - 35·
Championship·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.322.60safe0.31–2.250.46–2.170.78–4.42safer0.06–2.500.23–2.400.30–4.90
Shots on target
48%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.374.038.40safe2.50–6.232.29–5.784.79–12.00safer2.01–6.721.83–6.243.84–12.96
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0311.8324.86safe9.10–16.958.27–15.4017.37–32.35safer8.01–18.047.31–16.3515.32–34.40
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.868.5117.37safe5.92–11.805.83–11.2011.75–22.99safer5.09–12.635.10–11.9310.18–24.56
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.787.92safe2.26–6.032.12–5.434.38–11.45safer1.72–6.571.63–5.923.35–12.49
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.555.0310.58safe3.34–7.763.03–7.036.37–14.79safer2.76–8.342.50–7.565.26–15.90
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.1949.55safe43.40–56.9842.76–56.33safer41.73–58.6541.09–58.01
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction427405831safe359–494338–471698–965safer341–512321–489662–1001
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction63.5767.44safe59.54–67.6063.12–71.77safer58.24–68.8961.81–73.07
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4413.1223.56safe7.60–13.2810.18–16.0717.78–29.34safer6.85–14.039.43–16.8116.27–30.85
Offsides
52%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.603.85safe1.09–3.410.51–2.691.60–6.10safer0.79–3.710.22–2.981.01–6.69
Yellow cards
26%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.323.88safe0.51–2.611.19–3.451.70–6.06safer0.25–2.880.90–3.741.15–6.62
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.985.58safe1.16–4.031.43–4.542.59–8.57safer0.77–4.421.00–4.961.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 4.03 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.24 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.04 | 11.83 8.27–15.40 7.31–16.35 | 24.86 17.37–32.35 15.32–34.40 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.92–11.80 5.09–12.63 | 8.51 5.83–11.20 5.10–11.93 | 17.37 11.75–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.35–12.49 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.76 2.76–8.34 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 50.19 43.40–56.98 41.73–58.65 | 49.55 42.76–56.33 41.09–58.01 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 427 359–494 341–512 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 831 698–965 662–1001 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.57 59.54–67.60 58.24–68.89 | 67.44 63.12–71.77 61.81–73.07 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.28 6.85–14.03 | 13.12 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.81 | 23.56 17.78–29.34 16.27–30.85 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 52% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 26% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+