Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.692.82safe0.17–2.100.83–2.541.00–4.65safer0.00–2.350.61–2.770.52–5.13
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.934.788.71safe2.07–5.793.04–6.525.10–12.31safer1.58–6.282.57–6.994.15–13.27
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8512.5125.36safe8.93–16.788.95–16.0717.88–32.85safer7.84–17.877.99–17.0315.82–34.90
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.268.5316.79safe5.32–11.205.85–11.2211.17–22.42safer4.49–12.035.12–11.959.60–23.98
Blocked shots
36%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.187.89safe1.83–5.592.52–5.834.35–11.42safer1.28–6.142.03–6.323.32–12.46
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.0310.04safe2.80–7.233.03–7.035.83–14.26safer2.23–7.802.50–7.564.72–15.36
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.6560.76safe32.86–46.4453.97–67.54safer31.19–48.1152.30–69.21
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction344511855safe277–411445–578721–989safer258–429427–595686–1024
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction64.1174.31safe60.08–68.1469.98–78.63safer58.79–69.4368.68–79.94
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2411.3722.61safe8.40–14.088.43–14.3216.83–28.39safer7.65–14.837.68–15.0715.32–29.90
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.523.30safe0.62–2.940.43–2.621.05–5.55safer0.31–3.240.14–2.910.46–6.14
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.603.19safe0.54–2.640.47–2.731.01–5.36safer0.27–2.900.18–3.020.45–5.92
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.595.34safe1.32–4.191.03–4.142.35–8.34safer0.93–4.580.61–4.571.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.61–2.77 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.93 2.07–5.79 1.58–6.28 | 4.78 3.04–6.52 2.57–6.99 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.85 8.93–16.78 7.84–17.87 | 12.51 8.95–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 25.36 17.88–32.85 15.82–34.90 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.32–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 8.53 5.85–11.22 5.12–11.95 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.14 | 4.18 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 7.89 4.35–11.42 3.32–12.46 | 36% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 39.65 32.86–46.44 31.19–48.11 | 60.76 53.97–67.54 52.30–69.21 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 344 277–411 258–429 | 511 445–578 427–595 | 855 721–989 686–1024 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.11 60.08–68.14 58.79–69.43 | 74.31 69.98–78.63 68.68–79.94 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.08 7.65–14.83 | 11.37 8.43–14.32 7.68–15.07 | 22.61 16.83–28.39 15.32–29.90 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.61–4.57 | 5.34 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 44% 18% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+