Championship·Regular Season - 35·
Championship·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.050.892.94safe1.08–3.020.04–1.751.12–4.77safer0.83–3.270.00–1.980.64–5.25
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.129.17safe4.19–7.911.38–4.875.57–12.78safer3.70–8.400.91–5.334.61–13.73
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.918.7125.63safe12.99–20.845.15–12.2818.14–33.11safer11.90–21.934.19–13.2416.09–35.16
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.326.1117.42safe8.37–14.263.43–8.7911.80–23.05safer7.54–15.092.69–9.5310.23–24.61
Blocked shots
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.322.758.07safe3.44–7.201.10–4.404.53–11.60safer2.89–7.750.60–4.893.50–12.64
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.339.92safe4.38–8.801.33–5.335.70–14.13safer3.80–9.380.80–5.864.60–15.24
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction58.5740.45safe51.78–65.3633.67–47.24safer50.11–67.0332.00–48.91
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction570375945safe503–637309–442811–1079safer485–655291–459776–1114
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction78.0372.58safe74.00–82.0668.26–76.91safer72.71–83.3566.95–78.22
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3910.8022.19safe8.55–14.227.85–13.7416.40–27.97safer7.79–14.987.10–14.4914.90–29.47
Offsides
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.923.71safe0.63–2.950.83–3.021.46–5.96safer0.33–3.250.54–3.300.87–6.55
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.063.61safe0.51–2.610.93–3.181.44–5.79safer0.24–2.870.64–3.480.88–6.35
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.856.05safe0.76–3.632.30–5.413.06–9.04safer0.37–4.021.87–5.842.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 64% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.19–7.91 3.70–8.40 | 3.12 1.38–4.87 0.91–5.33 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.91 12.99–20.84 11.90–21.93 | 8.71 5.15–12.28 4.19–13.24 | 25.63 18.14–33.11 16.09–35.16 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.32 8.37–14.26 7.54–15.09 | 6.11 3.43–8.79 2.69–9.53 | 17.42 11.80–23.05 10.23–24.61 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.32 3.44–7.20 2.89–7.75 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 8.07 4.53–11.60 3.50–12.64 | 77% 14% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.80 3.80–9.38 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.80–5.86 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 81% |
| Possession % | 58.57 51.78–65.36 50.11–67.03 | 40.45 33.67–47.24 32.00–48.91 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 570 503–637 485–655 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.03 74.00–82.06 72.71–83.35 | 72.58 68.26–76.91 66.95–78.22 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.55–14.22 7.79–14.98 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 22.19 16.40–27.97 14.90–29.47 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 3.71 1.46–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 2.06 0.93–3.18 0.64–3.48 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.85 2.30–5.41 1.87–5.84 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.