Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.120.933.06safe1.16–3.090.08–1.791.23–4.88safer0.90–3.340.00–2.020.75–5.36
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.328.73safe3.55–7.271.58–5.065.13–12.34safer3.06–7.761.11–5.534.17–13.29
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2710.0225.29safe11.35–19.206.46–13.5917.81–32.78safer10.25–20.295.50–14.5415.76–34.83
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.586.6317.21safe7.64–13.533.95–9.3111.59–22.84safer6.81–14.363.21–10.0510.02–24.40
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.507.23safe2.85–6.610.84–4.153.69–10.76safer2.31–7.160.35–4.642.66–11.80
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.8910.91safe4.81–9.231.89–5.896.69–15.12safer4.23–9.811.35–6.425.59–16.23
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2137.37safe56.42–70.0030.58–44.15safer54.75–71.6728.91–45.83
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction524267792safe457–592201–334658–925safer439–610183–351622–961
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction71.3462.91safe67.31–75.3758.59–67.24safer66.02–76.6657.28–68.55
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2913.1323.43safe7.46–13.1310.19–16.0817.64–29.21safer6.70–13.899.44–16.8316.14–30.71
Offsides
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.813.385.19safe0.65–2.972.29–4.472.94–7.44safer0.35–3.272.00–4.762.35–8.03
Yellow cards
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.973.38safe0.36–2.460.84–3.101.20–5.56safer0.09–2.720.55–3.390.64–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.545.66safe0.69–3.561.98–5.102.67–8.65safer0.30–3.951.56–5.521.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.16–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.27 3.06–7.76 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 8.73 5.13–12.34 4.17–13.29 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.27 11.35–19.20 10.25–20.29 | 10.02 6.46–13.59 5.50–14.54 | 25.29 17.81–32.78 15.76–34.83 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.58 7.64–13.53 6.81–14.36 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.21–10.05 | 17.21 11.59–22.84 10.02–24.40 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.23 4.23–9.81 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.35–6.42 | 10.91 6.69–15.12 5.59–16.23 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 63.21 56.42–70.00 54.75–71.67 | 37.37 30.58–44.15 28.91–45.83 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 267 201–334 183–351 | 792 658–925 622–961 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.34 67.31–75.37 66.02–76.66 | 62.91 58.59–67.24 57.28–68.55 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.46–13.13 6.70–13.89 | 13.13 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 23.43 17.64–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 3.38 2.29–4.47 2.00–4.76 | 5.19 2.94–7.44 2.35–8.03 | 18% 14% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.86–9.47 | 21% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.