Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.272.69safe0.46–2.400.41–2.120.87–4.52safer0.21–2.650.18–2.350.39–5.00
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.248.85safe2.75–6.472.50–5.985.24–12.45safer2.26–6.962.03–6.454.29–13.41
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8212.4227.24safe10.89–18.748.86–15.9819.75–34.73safer9.80–19.837.90–16.9417.70–36.78
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.959.0417.99safe6.01–11.896.36–11.7212.37–23.62safer5.18–12.725.62–12.4610.80–25.18
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.277.72safe2.57–6.331.62–4.924.18–11.25safer2.02–6.871.12–5.413.15–12.29
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.479.81safe3.13–7.562.47–6.475.60–14.02safer2.56–8.131.93–7.004.49–15.13
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.5647.17safe46.77–60.3540.38–53.95safer45.10–62.0238.71–55.62
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction488427915safe420–555360–493781–1048safer402–573343–511745–1084
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction70.5770.25safe66.54–74.6065.93–74.58safer65.25–75.9064.62–75.89
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8210.2521.08safe7.98–13.667.31–13.2015.30–26.86safer7.23–14.426.56–13.9513.79–28.36
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.743.23safe0.32–2.640.65–2.840.97–5.48safer0.02–2.950.36–3.120.38–6.07
Yellow cards
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.723.61safe0.84–2.940.59–2.851.43–5.79safer0.57–3.210.30–3.140.87–6.35
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.075.83safe1.32–4.191.52–4.632.84–8.82safer0.93–4.581.09–5.062.03–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 8.85 5.24–12.45 4.29–13.41 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 12.42 8.86–15.98 7.90–16.94 | 27.24 19.75–34.73 17.70–36.78 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.01–11.89 5.18–12.72 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.46 | 17.99 12.37–23.62 10.80–25.18 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 7.72 4.18–11.25 3.15–12.29 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.93–7.00 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.56 46.77–60.35 45.10–62.02 | 47.17 40.38–53.95 38.71–55.62 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 488 420–555 402–573 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 915 781–1048 745–1084 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.57 66.54–74.60 65.25–75.90 | 70.25 65.93–74.58 64.62–75.89 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 10.25 7.31–13.20 6.56–13.95 | 21.08 15.30–26.86 13.79–28.36 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.95 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.21 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.06 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.63 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.