Championship·Regular Season - 35·
Championship·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.952.72safe0.80–2.740.10–1.810.90–4.54safer0.55–2.990.00–2.030.42–5.02
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.258.60safe3.49–7.211.51–5.005.00–12.21safer3.00–7.701.05–5.464.04–13.16
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6910.0425.73safe11.77–19.626.48–13.6018.24–33.22safer10.67–20.715.52–14.5616.19–35.27
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.066.3116.37safe7.12–13.013.62–8.9910.75–21.99safer6.29–13.842.89–9.729.18–23.56
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.067.64safe2.69–6.461.41–4.724.10–11.17safer2.15–7.000.92–5.213.07–12.21
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.7710.54safe4.55–8.981.77–5.776.33–14.75safer3.98–9.551.24–6.315.22–15.86
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0042.80safe50.21–63.7936.01–49.58safer48.54–65.4634.34–51.25
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction501329830safe434–568263–396697–964safer416–587245–413661–1000
Pass accuracy %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction71.6968.29safe67.66–75.7263.97–72.62safer66.36–77.0162.66–73.93
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5211.4021.92safe7.68–13.368.45–14.3416.14–27.70safer6.93–14.117.71–15.0914.63–29.21
Offsides
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.023.48safe0.30–2.620.92–3.111.22–5.73safer0.00–2.920.64–3.400.63–6.32
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.963.21safe0.20–2.300.83–3.091.03–5.39safer0.00–2.560.54–3.380.47–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.395.74safe0.91–3.781.84–4.952.74–8.73safer0.52–4.171.41–5.371.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.03 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.21 3.00–7.70 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.69 11.77–19.62 10.67–20.71 | 10.04 6.48–13.60 5.52–14.56 | 25.73 18.24–33.22 16.19–35.27 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.06 7.12–13.01 6.29–13.84 | 6.31 3.62–8.99 2.89–9.72 | 16.37 10.75–21.99 9.18–23.56 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.06 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.98 3.98–9.55 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.31 | 10.54 6.33–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 57.00 50.21–63.79 48.54–65.46 | 42.80 36.01–49.58 34.34–51.25 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 416–587 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.69 67.66–75.72 66.36–77.01 | 68.29 63.97–72.62 62.66–73.93 | — | 65% 31% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.36 6.93–14.11 | 11.40 8.45–14.34 7.71–15.09 | 21.92 16.14–27.70 14.63–29.21 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.02 0.92–3.11 0.64–3.40 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.95 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 5.74 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 26% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+