Championship·Regular Season - 35·
Championship·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.552.60safe0.07–2.010.70–2.410.77–4.42safer0.00–2.260.47–2.640.29–4.90
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.504.738.23safe1.63–5.362.99–6.474.62–11.83safer1.14–5.852.52–6.943.67–12.79
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7813.4424.21safe6.85–14.709.87–17.0016.73–31.70safer5.76–15.798.91–17.9614.68–33.75
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.468.1315.59safe4.52–10.405.45–10.819.97–21.22safer3.69–11.234.72–11.558.40–22.78
Blocked shots
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.806.87safe1.18–4.952.15–5.453.33–10.40safer0.64–5.491.66–5.952.30–11.44
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.039.60safe2.36–6.793.03–7.035.39–13.81safer1.79–7.362.49–7.564.28–14.92
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.9460.67safe33.15–46.7353.88–67.45safer31.48–48.4052.21–69.12
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction379581960safe312–446515–648826–1094safer294–464497–665791–1129
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.2776.85safe61.24–69.3072.53–81.17safer59.95–70.5971.22–82.48
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2111.3523.57safe9.38–15.058.41–14.3017.78–29.35safer8.62–15.817.66–15.0516.28–30.85
Offsides
55%
17%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.902.125.02safe1.74–4.061.03–3.212.77–7.27safer1.44–4.360.74–3.502.18–7.86
Yellow cards
44%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.693.60safe0.86–2.960.56–2.811.42–5.77safer0.59–3.220.27–3.110.86–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.555.56safe1.57–4.441.00–4.112.57–8.55safer1.18–4.830.57–4.541.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.60 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 25% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.50 1.63–5.36 1.14–5.85 | 4.73 2.99–6.47 2.52–6.94 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 10.78 6.85–14.70 5.76–15.79 | 13.44 9.87–17.00 8.91–17.96 | 24.21 16.73–31.70 14.68–33.75 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.46 4.52–10.40 3.69–11.23 | 8.13 5.45–10.81 4.72–11.55 | 15.59 9.97–21.22 8.40–22.78 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.18–4.95 0.64–5.49 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.66–5.95 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 39.94 33.15–46.73 31.48–48.40 | 60.67 53.88–67.45 52.21–69.12 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 294–464 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 960 826–1094 791–1129 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.27 61.24–69.30 59.95–70.59 | 76.85 72.53–81.17 71.22–82.48 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.38–15.05 8.62–15.81 | 11.35 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.05 | 23.57 17.78–29.35 16.28–30.85 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.90 1.74–4.06 1.44–4.36 | 2.12 1.03–3.21 0.74–3.50 | 5.02 2.77–7.27 2.18–7.86 | 55% 17% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.69 0.56–2.81 0.27–3.11 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 44% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.54 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.