Championship·Regular Season - 35·
Championship·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.392.78safe0.43–2.360.53–2.240.96–4.60safer0.18–2.620.30–2.470.48–5.08
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.579.08safe2.65–6.382.82–6.315.47–12.68safer2.16–6.872.36–6.774.52–13.64
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8712.2527.13safe10.95–18.808.69–15.8219.64–34.62safer9.86–19.897.73–16.7817.59–36.67
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.778.6518.42safe6.83–12.715.96–11.3312.80–24.04safer6.00–13.545.23–12.0611.23–25.61
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.267.44safe2.29–6.061.61–4.913.90–10.97safer1.75–6.601.12–5.412.87–12.01
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.689.96safe3.07–7.492.68–6.685.75–14.17safer2.49–8.072.15–7.214.64–15.28
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction46.9553.09safe40.16–53.7446.30–59.87safer38.49–55.4144.63–61.54
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction420471891safe352–487405–538757–1025safer334–505387–555722–1060
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction70.5074.48safe66.47–74.5370.15–78.80safer65.18–75.8268.84–80.11
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3710.8323.20safe9.54–15.217.88–13.7717.42–28.98safer8.78–15.977.13–14.5215.91–30.49
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.863.67safe0.65–2.970.77–2.951.42–5.93safer0.35–3.270.48–3.240.83–6.52
Yellow cards
37%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.094.02safe0.89–2.990.96–3.211.85–6.20safer0.62–3.250.67–3.511.29–6.76
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.206.06safe1.42–4.301.65–4.763.07–9.05safer1.04–4.681.22–5.182.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.38 2.16–6.87 | 4.57 2.82–6.31 2.36–6.77 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.52–13.64 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.87 10.95–18.80 9.86–19.89 | 12.25 8.69–15.82 7.73–16.78 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 8.65 5.96–11.33 5.23–12.06 | 18.42 12.80–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.12–5.41 | 7.44 3.90–10.97 2.87–12.01 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 46.95 40.16–53.74 38.49–55.41 | 53.09 46.30–59.87 44.63–61.54 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.50 66.47–74.53 65.18–75.82 | 74.48 70.15–78.80 68.84–80.11 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 10.83 7.88–13.77 7.13–14.52 | 23.20 17.42–28.98 15.91–30.49 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.09 0.96–3.21 0.67–3.51 | 4.02 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.