Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.952.58safe0.66–2.600.10–1.800.76–4.40safer0.41–2.850.00–2.030.28–4.88
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.148.11safe3.10–6.831.40–4.894.50–11.71safer2.61–7.320.94–5.353.55–12.67
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.799.4724.26safe10.86–18.715.91–13.0416.78–31.75safer9.77–19.804.95–14.0014.72–33.80
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.106.7616.86safe7.16–13.044.08–9.4411.24–22.48safer6.33–13.873.34–10.189.67–24.05
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.502.607.10safe2.62–6.380.95–4.263.57–10.64safer2.07–6.920.46–4.752.53–11.67
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.434.0910.52safe4.22–8.642.09–6.096.31–14.73safer3.64–9.221.56–6.625.20–15.84
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.1246.48safe46.33–59.9139.70–53.27safer44.66–61.5838.03–54.94
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction427361788safe360–494294–427654–921safer342–512277–445618–957
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction67.3567.05safe63.32–71.3862.73–71.38safer62.03–72.6761.42–72.69
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5412.6824.22safe8.70–14.389.74–15.6318.44–30.00safer7.94–15.138.99–16.3816.93–31.51
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.514.56safe0.89–3.211.42–3.602.30–6.81safer0.58–3.511.13–3.891.71–7.40
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.374.25safe0.83–2.931.24–3.502.07–6.43safer0.56–3.190.95–3.791.51–6.99
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.165.23safe0.63–3.501.61–4.722.23–8.22safer0.24–3.891.18–5.141.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 0.95 0.10–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 3.14 1.40–4.89 0.94–5.35 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.80 | 9.47 5.91–13.04 4.95–14.00 | 24.26 16.78–31.75 14.72–33.80 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.16–13.04 6.33–13.87 | 6.76 4.08–9.44 3.34–10.18 | 16.86 11.24–22.48 9.67–24.05 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.62–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 2.60 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.43 4.22–8.64 3.64–9.22 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.56–6.62 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.12 46.33–59.91 44.66–61.58 | 46.48 39.70–53.27 38.03–54.94 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 427 360–494 342–512 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 788 654–921 618–957 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.35 63.32–71.38 62.03–72.67 | 67.05 62.73–71.38 61.42–72.69 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.94–15.13 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 24.22 18.44–30.00 16.93–31.51 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.58–3.51 | 2.51 1.42–3.60 1.13–3.89 | 4.56 2.30–6.81 1.71–7.40 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.23 2.23–8.22 1.42–9.03 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+