Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.352.65safe0.33–2.270.49–2.200.82–4.47safer0.08–2.520.26–2.430.34–4.95
Shots on target
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.738.62safe2.03–5.752.98–6.475.01–12.22safer1.54–6.242.52–6.944.06–13.18
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3314.1625.49safe7.40–15.2510.60–17.7318.01–32.98safer6.31–16.349.64–18.6915.96–35.03
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.569.7517.30safe4.61–10.507.07–12.4311.68–22.93safer3.78–11.336.33–13.1710.11–24.49
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.257.29safe1.16–4.922.60–5.913.76–10.83safer0.61–5.472.11–6.402.72–11.86
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.2310.00safe2.56–6.983.23–7.235.79–14.22safer1.98–7.562.70–7.774.68–15.32
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.7052.38safe41.91–55.4945.59–59.16safer40.24–57.1643.92–60.83
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction425452877safe357–492386–519743–1010safer339–510368–536707–1046
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction71.5774.02safe67.54–75.6069.69–78.34safer66.25–76.8968.39–79.65
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1513.6025.75safe9.31–14.9910.65–16.5419.96–31.53safer8.55–15.749.90–17.2918.46–33.03
Offsides
63%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.671.464.13safe1.51–3.830.37–2.561.87–6.38safer1.20–4.130.08–2.841.28–6.97
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.244.46safe1.18–3.281.11–3.362.29–6.64safer0.91–3.540.82–3.661.73–7.20
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
48%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.715.79safe1.65–4.521.15–4.262.80–8.78safer1.26–4.910.72–4.691.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.75 1.54–6.24 | 4.73 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.94 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.33 7.40–15.25 6.31–16.34 | 14.16 10.60–17.73 9.64–18.69 | 25.49 18.01–32.98 15.96–35.03 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.61–10.50 3.78–11.33 | 9.75 7.07–12.43 6.33–13.17 | 17.30 11.68–22.93 10.11–24.49 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.04 1.16–4.92 0.61–5.47 | 4.25 2.60–5.91 2.11–6.40 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.86 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.98 1.98–7.56 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.77 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.70 41.91–55.49 40.24–57.16 | 52.38 45.59–59.16 43.92–60.83 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.57 67.54–75.60 66.25–76.89 | 74.02 69.69–78.34 68.39–79.65 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.55–15.74 | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 25.75 19.96–31.53 18.46–33.03 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.67 1.51–3.83 1.20–4.13 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.84 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.28–6.97 | 63% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 2.24 1.11–3.36 0.82–3.66 | 4.46 2.29–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.69 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 48% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.