Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
28%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.310.912.21safe0.34–2.280.05–1.760.39–4.04safer0.09–2.530.00–1.990.00–4.52
Shots on target
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.227.19safe2.11–5.841.47–4.963.59–10.80safer1.62–6.331.01–5.432.63–11.75
Total shots
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0010.3223.32safe9.07–16.926.76–13.8915.83–30.81safer7.98–18.015.80–14.8513.78–32.86
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.397.0415.43safe5.45–11.334.36–9.729.81–21.05safer4.62–12.163.62–10.468.24–22.62
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.187.39safe2.33–6.091.53–4.833.86–10.93safer1.79–6.641.03–5.332.82–11.96
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.6010.44safe3.62–8.052.60–6.606.23–14.65safer3.05–8.622.07–7.135.12–15.76
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction56.7442.40safe49.95–63.5335.61–49.18safer48.28–65.2033.94–50.85
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction446332778safe379–513265–398644–912safer361–531248–416609–947
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction67.6566.27safe63.62–71.6861.94–70.59safer62.33–72.9860.63–71.90
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4111.8223.24safe8.58–14.258.88–14.7717.45–29.02safer7.82–15.018.13–15.5215.95–30.52
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.953.59safe0.48–2.800.86–3.041.34–5.85safer0.18–3.110.57–3.330.75–6.44
Yellow cards
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.863.46safe0.55–2.650.73–2.991.28–5.64safer0.28–2.910.44–3.280.72–6.19
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.695.03safe0.90–3.781.13–4.252.04–8.02safer0.52–4.160.71–4.671.22–8.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.21 0.39–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 46% 28% 26% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.84 1.62–6.33 | 3.22 1.47–4.96 1.01–5.43 | 7.19 3.59–10.80 2.63–11.75 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 10.32 6.76–13.89 5.80–14.85 | 23.32 15.83–30.81 13.78–32.86 | 67% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.39 5.45–11.33 4.62–12.16 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.62–10.46 | 15.43 9.81–21.05 8.24–22.62 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.79–6.64 | 3.18 1.53–4.83 1.03–5.33 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.13 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.74 49.95–63.53 48.28–65.20 | 42.40 35.61–49.18 33.94–50.85 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 332 265–398 248–416 | 778 644–912 609–947 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.65 63.62–71.68 62.33–72.98 | 66.27 61.94–70.59 60.63–71.90 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 11.82 8.88–14.77 8.13–15.52 | 23.24 17.45–29.02 15.95–30.52 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 2.69 1.13–4.25 0.71–4.67 | 5.03 2.04–8.02 1.22–8.83 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.