Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.102.98safe0.00–1.851.24–2.951.15–4.80safer0.00–2.101.01–3.180.67–5.28
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.395.398.78safe1.53–5.263.65–7.135.18–12.39safer1.04–5.753.18–7.604.22–13.34
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7114.9126.62safe7.78–15.6311.35–18.4719.13–34.11safer6.69–16.7210.39–19.4317.08–36.16
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2010.6617.86safe4.25–10.147.98–13.3412.23–23.48safer3.43–10.977.24–14.0810.67–25.05
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.055.088.12safe1.16–4.933.42–6.734.59–11.66safer0.62–5.472.93–7.223.55–12.69
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.0210.04safe1.81–6.234.02–8.025.83–14.25safer1.23–6.813.49–8.554.72–15.36
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.3065.12safe28.51–42.0958.34–71.91safer26.84–43.7656.67–73.58
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction319574893safe251–386508–640759–1026safer233–404490–658723–1062
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction61.4278.11safe57.39–65.4573.78–82.43safer56.10–66.7472.47–83.74
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4310.2621.69safe8.59–14.267.32–13.2115.91–27.47safer7.83–15.026.57–13.9614.40–28.98
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.513.39safe0.72–3.040.41–2.601.13–5.64safer0.42–3.340.13–2.890.54–6.23
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.443.31safe0.82–2.920.32–2.571.13–5.49safer0.55–3.180.02–2.860.58–6.05
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
58%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.482.495.97safe2.04–4.910.94–4.052.98–8.96safer1.65–5.300.51–4.472.17–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.10 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.18 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.26 1.04–5.75 | 5.39 3.65–7.13 3.18–7.60 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.71 7.78–15.63 6.69–16.72 | 14.91 11.35–18.47 10.39–19.43 | 26.62 19.13–34.11 17.08–36.16 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 7.20 4.25–10.14 3.43–10.97 | 10.66 7.98–13.34 7.24–14.08 | 17.86 12.23–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.16–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 5.08 3.42–6.73 2.93–7.22 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.23 1.23–6.81 | 6.02 4.02–8.02 3.49–8.55 | 10.04 5.83–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.30 28.51–42.09 26.84–43.76 | 65.12 58.34–71.91 56.67–73.58 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 319 251–386 233–404 | 574 508–640 490–658 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.42 57.39–65.45 56.10–66.74 | 78.11 73.78–82.43 72.47–83.74 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 10.26 7.32–13.21 6.57–13.96 | 21.69 15.91–27.47 14.40–28.98 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.44 0.32–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.48 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.47 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.77 | 58% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.