Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.402.74safe0.37–2.310.55–2.250.92–4.56safer0.12–2.560.32–2.480.44–5.04
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.358.06safe1.85–5.572.60–6.094.45–11.66safer1.36–6.062.14–6.553.50–12.62
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6112.7325.34safe8.69–16.539.17–16.2917.85–32.83safer7.59–17.638.21–17.2515.80–34.88
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.618.5617.18safe5.67–11.555.88–11.2511.55–22.80safer4.84–12.385.15–11.989.99–24.37
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.127.81safe1.81–5.572.46–5.774.27–11.34safer1.27–6.121.97–6.263.24–12.38
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.255.1310.38safe3.03–7.463.13–7.136.17–14.59safer2.46–8.032.60–7.675.06–15.70
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction47.3653.57safe40.57–54.1546.78–60.35safer38.90–55.8245.11–62.02
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction394418812safe327–461351–484678–945safer309–479334–502642–981
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction59.7368.38safe55.70–63.7664.05–72.70safer54.41–65.0562.74–74.01
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4310.8024.23safe10.59–16.277.85–13.7418.45–30.01safer9.84–17.027.10–14.4916.94–31.51
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.573.30safe0.57–2.890.48–2.661.05–5.55safer0.27–3.190.19–2.950.46–6.14
Yellow cards
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.683.42safe0.68–2.780.56–2.811.24–5.60safer0.42–3.050.26–3.110.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
49%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.435.34safe1.48–4.350.87–3.982.35–8.33safer1.09–4.740.45–4.411.54–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.40 0.55–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 4.35 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.55 | 8.06 4.45–11.66 3.50–12.62 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.61 8.69–16.53 7.59–17.63 | 12.73 9.17–16.29 8.21–17.25 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.61 5.67–11.55 4.84–12.38 | 8.56 5.88–11.25 5.15–11.98 | 17.18 11.55–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.27–6.12 | 4.12 2.46–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.60–7.67 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.36 40.57–54.15 38.90–55.82 | 53.57 46.78–60.35 45.11–62.02 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 394 327–461 309–479 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 812 678–945 642–981 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.73 55.70–63.76 54.41–65.05 | 68.38 64.05–72.70 62.74–74.01 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.43 10.59–16.27 9.84–17.02 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 24.23 18.45–30.01 16.94–31.51 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.68 0.56–2.81 0.26–3.11 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 5.34 2.35–8.33 1.54–9.14 | 49% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.