Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.322.99safe0.70–2.630.47–2.181.16–4.81safer0.45–2.880.24–2.400.68–5.29
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.199.07safe3.02–6.742.45–5.935.46–12.67safer2.53–7.231.98–6.404.51–13.63
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0011.7625.75safe10.07–17.928.20–15.3218.27–33.24safer8.98–19.017.24–16.2816.22–35.29
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.637.4217.05safe6.69–12.574.74–10.1011.43–22.68safer5.86–13.404.00–10.849.86–24.24
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.377.21safe1.96–5.721.72–5.023.68–10.75safer1.42–6.271.22–5.512.64–11.78
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.8910.68safe3.57–8.002.89–6.896.46–14.89safer3.00–8.572.36–7.435.35–16.00
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4352.18safe41.64–55.2245.39–58.96safer39.97–56.8943.72–60.63
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction396423818safe329–463356–489685–952safer310–481339–507649–988
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction64.4468.68safe60.41–68.4764.36–73.00safer59.12–69.7663.05–74.31
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4711.7023.17safe8.64–14.318.76–14.6517.39–28.96safer7.88–15.078.01–15.3915.89–30.46
Offsides
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.245.41safe2.01–4.331.15–3.333.16–7.67safer1.71–4.630.86–3.622.57–8.25
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.593.05safe0.42–2.520.46–2.720.87–5.23safer0.15–2.780.17–3.010.32–5.79
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.155.81safe1.21–4.091.60–4.712.81–8.80safer0.83–4.471.17–5.142.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.70–2.63 0.45–2.88 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 11.76 8.20–15.32 7.24–16.28 | 25.75 18.27–33.24 16.22–35.29 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.63 6.69–12.57 5.86–13.40 | 7.42 4.74–10.10 4.00–10.84 | 17.05 11.43–22.68 9.86–24.24 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–8.00 3.00–8.57 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 10.68 6.46–14.89 5.35–16.00 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 48.43 41.64–55.22 39.97–56.89 | 52.18 45.39–58.96 43.72–60.63 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 310–481 | 423 356–489 339–507 | 818 685–952 649–988 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.44 60.41–68.47 59.12–69.76 | 68.68 64.36–73.00 63.05–74.31 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.64–14.31 7.88–15.07 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.39 | 23.17 17.39–28.96 15.89–30.46 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 3.17 2.01–4.33 1.71–4.63 | 2.24 1.15–3.33 0.86–3.62 | 5.41 3.16–7.67 2.57–8.25 | 57% 16% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.09 0.83–4.47 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 5.81 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.