Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.212.71safe0.53–2.460.36–2.070.88–4.53safer0.28–2.710.13–2.290.40–5.01
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.793.908.69safe2.93–6.662.15–5.645.09–12.30safer2.44–7.151.69–6.104.13–13.25
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0311.5525.58safe10.10–17.957.99–15.1118.09–33.06safer9.01–19.047.03–16.0716.04–35.11
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.077.7216.79safe6.13–12.015.04–10.4011.17–22.42safer5.30–12.844.30–11.149.60–23.98
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.387.34safe2.08–5.841.73–5.033.80–10.87safer1.53–6.381.23–5.522.77–11.91
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.4510.28safe3.62–8.042.45–6.456.07–14.49safer3.04–8.621.92–6.984.96–15.60
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.4847.43safe45.69–59.2740.65–54.22safer44.02–60.9438.98–55.89
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction481406887safe414–548339–472753–1020safer396–566322–490717–1056
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction72.1473.00safe68.11–76.1768.67–77.32safer66.82–77.4667.36–78.63
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5710.9221.49safe7.73–13.407.98–13.8715.71–27.27safer6.97–14.167.23–14.6214.20–28.78
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.443.62safe1.02–3.340.35–2.531.37–5.88safer0.72–3.650.06–2.820.78–6.47
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.573.08safe0.47–2.570.44–2.700.90–5.26safer0.20–2.830.15–2.990.35–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.165.77safe1.17–4.051.60–4.722.78–8.76safer0.79–4.431.18–5.141.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.71 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.79 2.93–6.66 2.44–7.15 | 3.90 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 25.58 18.09–33.06 16.04–35.11 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.04 3.04–8.62 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.98 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 52.48 45.69–59.27 44.02–60.94 | 47.43 40.65–54.22 38.98–55.89 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.14 68.11–76.17 66.82–77.46 | 73.00 68.67–77.32 67.36–78.63 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.57 7.73–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 10.92 7.98–13.87 7.23–14.62 | 21.49 15.71–27.27 14.20–28.78 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.65 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 3.16 1.60–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.97–9.58 | 33% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.