Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.133.16safe1.06–3.000.27–1.981.34–4.98safer0.81–3.250.04–2.210.86–5.46
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.954.1110.06safe4.08–7.812.37–5.866.46–13.67safer3.59–8.301.91–6.325.50–14.62
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7312.7230.45safe13.80–21.659.16–16.2822.96–37.94safer12.71–22.758.20–17.2420.91–39.99
Shots in box
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.868.3620.21safe8.91–14.805.68–11.0414.59–25.84safer8.09–15.634.94–11.7713.02–27.40
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.808.54safe2.86–6.622.15–5.455.00–12.07safer2.31–7.161.65–5.943.97–13.11
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.9310.17safe4.03–8.461.93–5.935.96–14.39safer3.45–9.031.40–6.464.85–15.49
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.7943.87safe50.00–63.5837.08–50.65safer48.33–65.2535.41–52.32
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction525395920safe458–592329–462786–1054safer439–610311–479751–1089
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction76.4574.37safe72.42–80.4870.05–78.70safer71.13–81.7768.74–80.01
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2612.7423.00safe7.42–13.109.80–15.6917.22–28.79safer6.67–13.859.05–16.4415.72–30.29
Offsides
57%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.283.41safe0.96–3.280.19–2.371.15–5.66safer0.66–3.590.00–2.660.56–6.25
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.153.59safe0.39–2.491.02–3.281.41–5.76safer0.12–2.750.73–3.570.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.766.50safe1.30–4.172.21–5.323.51–9.49safer0.91–4.561.78–5.742.70–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.08–7.81 3.59–8.30 | 4.11 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 10.06 6.46–13.67 5.50–14.62 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.80–21.65 12.71–22.75 | 12.72 9.16–16.28 8.20–17.24 | 30.45 22.96–37.94 20.91–39.99 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.86 8.91–14.80 8.09–15.63 | 8.36 5.68–11.04 4.94–11.77 | 20.21 14.59–25.84 13.02–27.40 | 75% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 8.54 5.00–12.07 3.97–13.11 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.45–9.03 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.46 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.79 50.00–63.58 48.33–65.25 | 43.87 37.08–50.65 35.41–52.32 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 525 458–592 439–610 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.45 72.42–80.48 71.13–81.77 | 74.37 70.05–78.70 68.74–80.01 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.42–13.10 6.67–13.85 | 12.74 9.80–15.69 9.05–16.44 | 23.00 17.22–28.79 15.72–30.29 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.59 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 57% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.70–10.30 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.