Championship·Regular Season - 36·
Championship·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.212.54safe0.36–2.290.36–2.070.72–4.36safer0.10–2.540.13–2.300.24–4.84
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.088.35safe2.40–6.132.34–5.824.74–11.95safer1.91–6.621.87–6.293.79–12.91
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6711.4725.14safe9.74–17.597.91–15.0317.65–32.63safer8.65–18.686.95–15.9915.60–34.68
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.948.3416.29safe5.00–10.895.66–11.0210.66–21.91safer4.17–11.724.92–11.769.10–23.48
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.367.49safe2.24–6.011.71–5.023.95–11.02safer1.70–6.551.22–5.512.92–12.06
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.229.36safe2.93–7.352.22–6.225.15–13.57safer2.35–7.931.69–6.754.04–14.68
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.9844.13safe50.19–63.7737.35–50.92safer48.52–65.4435.68–52.59
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction534390923safe466–601323–456790–1057safer448–619306–474754–1093
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction72.4472.08safe68.41–76.4767.75–76.40safer67.12–77.7766.44–77.71
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3212.2822.59safe7.48–13.159.33–15.2216.81–28.38safer6.72–13.918.58–15.9715.31–29.88
Offsides
19%
16%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.743.134.87safe0.58–2.902.04–4.222.61–7.12safer0.28–3.201.75–4.512.02–7.71
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.953.63safe0.64–2.730.82–3.081.46–5.81safer0.37–3.000.53–3.370.90–6.37
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.935.42safe1.06–3.931.38–4.492.43–8.42safer0.67–4.320.95–4.911.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.36–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 8.35 4.74–11.95 3.79–12.91 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.67 9.74–17.59 8.65–18.68 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 25.14 17.65–32.63 15.60–34.68 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 7.94 5.00–10.89 4.17–11.72 | 8.34 5.66–11.02 4.92–11.76 | 16.29 10.66–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.49 3.95–11.02 2.92–12.06 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 9.36 5.15–13.57 4.04–14.68 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 56.98 50.19–63.77 48.52–65.44 | 44.13 37.35–50.92 35.68–52.59 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 534 466–601 448–619 | 390 323–456 306–474 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.44 68.41–76.47 67.12–77.77 | 72.08 67.75–76.40 66.44–77.71 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 12.28 9.33–15.22 8.58–15.97 | 22.59 16.81–28.38 15.31–29.88 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 3.13 2.04–4.22 1.75–4.51 | 4.87 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 19% 16% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.63 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 5.42 2.43–8.42 1.62–9.23 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+