Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.572.79safe0.24–2.180.72–2.430.96–4.61safer0.00–2.430.49–2.660.48–5.09
Shots on target
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.598.70safe2.24–5.972.85–6.335.09–12.30safer1.75–6.462.38–6.804.14–13.26
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0512.8024.86safe8.13–15.989.24–16.3717.37–32.34safer7.04–17.078.28–17.3315.32–34.40
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.998.8716.85safe5.04–10.936.18–11.5511.23–22.48safer4.22–11.765.45–12.289.66–24.04
Blocked shots
32%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.957.15safe1.31–5.082.30–5.613.61–10.68safer0.77–5.621.81–6.102.58–11.72
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.2710.24safe2.75–7.183.27–7.276.02–14.45safer2.18–7.752.74–7.804.92–15.56
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.9452.60safe42.15–55.7345.81–59.38safer40.48–57.4044.14–61.05
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction413445858safe346–480378–511724–991safer328–498361–529688–1027
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction69.2575.05safe65.23–73.2870.73–79.38safer63.93–74.5869.42–80.68
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8812.8423.73safe8.05–13.729.90–15.7917.94–29.51safer7.29–14.489.15–16.5316.44–31.01
Offsides
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.145.58safe2.28–4.601.05–3.233.33–7.83safer1.98–4.900.76–3.522.74–8.42
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.053.80safe0.70–2.800.92–3.181.62–5.98safer0.44–3.070.63–3.471.07–6.54
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.835.69safe1.43–4.301.27–4.382.70–8.68safer1.04–4.680.85–4.811.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.57 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.05 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.07 | 12.80 9.24–16.37 8.28–17.33 | 24.86 17.37–32.34 15.32–34.40 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.04–10.93 4.22–11.76 | 8.87 6.18–11.55 5.45–12.28 | 16.85 11.23–22.48 9.66–24.04 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 3.95 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 32% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.80 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 48.94 42.15–55.73 40.48–57.40 | 52.60 45.81–59.38 44.14–61.05 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 328–498 | 445 378–511 361–529 | 858 724–991 688–1027 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.25 65.23–73.28 63.93–74.58 | 75.05 70.73–79.38 69.42–80.68 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.05–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 12.84 9.90–15.79 9.15–16.53 | 23.73 17.94–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 3.44 2.28–4.60 1.98–4.90 | 2.14 1.05–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 5.58 3.33–7.83 2.74–8.42 | 63% 15% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.