Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.133.25safe1.16–3.090.27–1.981.43–5.07safer0.91–3.350.04–2.210.95–5.55
Shots on target
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.089.68safe3.74–7.462.34–5.826.08–13.29safer3.25–7.951.87–6.295.12–14.24
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2211.8528.07safe12.29–20.148.29–15.4120.58–35.56safer11.20–21.237.33–16.3718.53–37.61
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.187.9219.10safe8.24–14.125.24–10.6013.47–24.72safer7.41–14.954.50–11.3411.91–26.29
Blocked shots
47%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.657.59safe2.06–5.822.00–5.314.06–11.13safer1.51–6.361.51–5.803.02–12.16
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.3310.05safe3.50–7.922.33–6.335.83–14.26safer2.92–8.501.80–6.874.72–15.37
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.3244.86safe47.53–61.1138.07–51.64safer45.86–62.7836.40–53.31
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction533420953safe466–600353–486819–1086safer448–618336–504783–1122
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction71.3972.47safe67.36–75.4268.15–76.79safer66.07–76.7166.84–78.10
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9210.2920.21safe7.08–12.767.35–13.2414.43–26.00safer6.33–13.526.60–13.9912.93–27.50
Offsides
63%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.671.464.13safe1.51–3.830.36–2.551.88–6.38safer1.21–4.130.08–2.841.29–6.97
Yellow cards
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.653.05safe0.35–2.450.52–2.780.87–5.22safer0.08–2.710.23–3.070.31–5.78
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.686.42safe1.30–4.172.12–5.243.43–9.41safer0.91–4.561.70–5.662.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.35 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 60% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.46 3.25–7.95 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 9.68 6.08–13.29 5.12–14.24 | 63% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.23 | 11.85 8.29–15.41 7.33–16.37 | 28.07 20.58–35.56 18.53–37.61 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 11.18 8.24–14.12 7.41–14.95 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 19.10 13.47–24.72 11.91–26.29 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.65 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.92 2.92–8.50 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.87 | 10.05 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.37 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.32 47.53–61.11 45.86–62.78 | 44.86 38.07–51.64 36.40–53.31 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 448–618 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.39 67.36–75.42 66.07–76.71 | 72.47 68.15–76.79 66.84–78.10 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 9.92 7.08–12.76 6.33–13.52 | 10.29 7.35–13.24 6.60–13.99 | 20.21 14.43–26.00 12.93–27.50 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.67 1.51–3.83 1.21–4.13 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 4.13 1.88–6.38 1.29–6.97 | 63% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.71 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.05 0.87–5.22 0.31–5.78 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.