Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.512.75safe0.27–2.200.66–2.370.92–4.57safer0.02–2.460.43–2.590.44–5.05
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.829.01safe2.33–6.053.08–6.565.40–12.61safer1.84–6.542.61–7.034.45–13.57
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1712.9725.14safe8.24–16.099.40–16.5317.65–32.62safer7.15–17.198.44–17.4915.60–34.67
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3210.0418.37safe5.38–11.277.36–12.7312.74–23.99safer4.55–12.096.63–13.4611.18–25.56
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.286.71safe1.54–5.311.63–4.943.17–10.24safer1.00–5.851.14–5.432.14–11.28
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.4210.57safe2.94–7.373.42–7.426.36–14.79safer2.37–7.942.88–7.955.25–15.89
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.7949.92safe43.00–56.5843.13–56.70safer41.33–58.2541.46–58.37
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction391369760safe324–458303–436626–894safer305–476285–453591–929
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction63.8467.64safe59.81–67.8763.31–71.96safer58.52–69.1762.00–73.27
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.1123.72safe8.78–14.469.16–15.0517.94–29.51safer8.02–15.218.41–15.8016.44–31.01
Offsides
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.986.15safe1.01–3.332.89–5.073.90–8.40safer0.71–3.632.60–5.363.31–8.99
Yellow cards
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.983.75safe0.72–2.820.85–3.111.57–5.93safer0.46–3.090.56–3.401.02–6.49
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.916.10safe1.75–4.621.35–4.463.10–9.09safer1.36–5.010.93–4.892.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.59 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.05 1.84–6.54 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.17 8.24–16.09 7.15–17.19 | 12.97 9.40–16.53 8.44–17.49 | 25.14 17.65–32.62 15.60–34.67 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.32 5.38–11.27 4.55–12.09 | 10.04 7.36–12.73 6.63–13.46 | 18.37 12.74–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.28 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 6.71 3.17–10.24 2.14–11.28 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.88–7.95 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 49.79 43.00–56.58 41.33–58.25 | 49.92 43.13–56.70 41.46–58.37 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 305–476 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 760 626–894 591–929 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.84 59.81–67.87 58.52–69.17 | 67.64 63.31–71.96 62.00–73.27 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.46 8.02–15.21 | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.80 | 23.72 17.94–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 3.98 2.89–5.07 2.60–5.36 | 6.15 3.90–8.40 3.31–8.99 | 17% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.