Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.262.57safe0.34–2.280.40–2.110.75–4.39safer0.09–2.530.17–2.340.27–4.87
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.828.06safe2.38–6.112.08–5.564.46–11.67safer1.89–6.601.61–6.033.50–12.62
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8411.4324.27safe8.91–16.767.87–14.9916.78–31.75safer7.82–17.856.91–15.9514.73–33.81
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.118.4916.60safe5.17–11.065.81–11.1710.98–22.23safer4.34–11.895.07–11.919.41–23.79
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.567.40safe1.96–5.721.90–5.213.86–10.93safer1.42–6.271.41–5.702.83–11.97
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.8410.36safe3.31–7.742.84–6.846.14–14.57safer2.74–8.312.30–7.375.04–15.68
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.5855.17safe38.79–52.3748.38–61.95safer37.12–54.0446.71–63.62
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction415501916safe347–482435–568782–1050safer329–500417–585746–1085
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.2274.64safe61.19–69.2570.31–78.96safer59.90–70.5469.00–80.27
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9012.1325.03safe10.06–15.739.19–15.0819.25–30.81safer9.30–16.498.44–15.8317.74–32.31
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.403.27safe0.71–3.030.31–2.501.02–5.52safer0.41–3.330.02–2.790.43–6.11
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.063.64safe0.53–2.630.93–3.191.46–5.82safer0.27–2.900.64–3.480.91–6.38
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.995.47safe1.05–3.921.43–4.552.48–8.47safer0.66–4.311.01–4.971.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.11 1.89–6.60 | 3.82 2.08–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 8.06 4.46–11.67 3.50–12.62 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.84 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.85 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 24.27 16.78–31.75 14.73–33.81 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.06 4.34–11.89 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 16.60 10.98–22.23 9.41–23.79 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 3.56 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 45.58 38.79–52.37 37.12–54.04 | 55.17 48.38–61.95 46.71–63.62 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 415 347–482 329–500 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 916 782–1050 746–1085 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.22 61.19–69.25 59.90–70.54 | 74.64 70.31–78.96 69.00–80.27 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.06–15.73 9.30–16.49 | 12.13 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 25.03 19.25–30.81 17.74–32.31 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.