Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.302.44safe0.17–2.110.45–2.160.62–4.27safer0.00–2.360.22–2.390.14–4.75
Shots on target
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.677.50safe1.97–5.691.92–5.413.89–11.10safer1.48–6.181.46–5.872.94–12.06
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9610.2323.19safe9.04–16.896.66–13.7915.70–30.68safer7.95–17.985.70–14.7513.65–32.73
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.136.8314.95safe5.18–11.074.15–9.519.33–20.58safer4.35–11.903.41–10.257.76–22.14
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.467.20safe1.86–5.621.80–5.113.66–10.73safer1.31–6.171.31–5.602.63–11.77
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.0210.05safe2.82–7.243.02–7.025.84–14.26safer2.24–7.822.49–7.554.73–15.37
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.3557.58safe34.56–48.1450.80–64.37safer32.89–49.8149.13–66.04
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction358491849safe291–425425–558716–983safer272–443407–575680–1019
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.6874.12safe61.65–69.7169.79–78.44safer60.36–71.0068.49–79.75
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0510.9824.03safe10.21–15.898.03–13.9218.24–29.81safer9.45–16.647.29–14.6716.74–31.31
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.683.43safe0.59–2.910.58–2.771.18–5.68safer0.29–3.210.30–3.060.59–6.27
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.923.96safe0.99–3.090.79–3.051.78–6.14safer0.72–3.350.50–3.341.23–6.70
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.584.96safe0.94–3.821.02–4.131.97–7.95safer0.56–4.200.60–4.561.15–8.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 32% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.83 1.97–5.69 1.48–6.18 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 7.50 3.89–11.10 2.94–12.06 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.96 9.04–16.89 7.95–17.98 | 10.23 6.66–13.79 5.70–14.75 | 23.19 15.70–30.68 13.65–32.73 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.18–11.07 4.35–11.90 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.41–10.25 | 14.95 9.33–20.58 7.76–22.14 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.62 1.31–6.17 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.82–7.24 2.24–7.82 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.55 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 41.35 34.56–48.14 32.89–49.81 | 57.58 50.80–64.37 49.13–66.04 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 272–443 | 491 425–558 407–575 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.68 61.65–69.71 60.36–71.00 | 74.12 69.79–78.44 68.49–79.75 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.89 9.45–16.64 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.29–14.67 | 24.03 18.24–29.81 16.74–31.31 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.35 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 2.58 1.02–4.13 0.60–4.56 | 4.96 1.97–7.95 1.15–8.76 | 37% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+