Championship·Regular Season - 37·
Championship·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.223.01safe0.82–2.750.37–2.081.19–4.83safer0.57–3.010.14–2.310.71–5.31
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.069.66safe3.75–7.472.31–5.806.06–13.27safer3.26–7.961.85–6.265.10–14.23
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5611.5428.09safe12.63–20.487.97–15.1020.61–35.58safer11.54–21.577.01–16.0618.56–37.63
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.268.1919.45safe8.32–14.205.51–10.8813.83–25.08safer7.49–15.034.78–11.6112.26–26.64
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.338.46safe3.25–7.021.68–4.984.93–12.00safer2.71–7.561.19–5.483.89–13.04
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.3510.34safe3.78–8.202.35–6.356.13–14.56safer3.20–8.781.82–6.885.02–15.66
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.4246.32safe46.63–60.2139.53–53.10safer44.96–61.8837.86–54.78
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction507429936safe440–574362–495802–1070safer422–592345–513766–1105
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction76.5775.07safe72.54–80.6070.74–79.39safer71.25–81.8969.43–80.70
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9010.9621.86safe8.07–13.748.01–13.9016.08–27.64safer7.31–14.507.26–14.6514.57–29.15
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.023.80safe0.62–2.940.93–3.111.55–6.06safer0.32–3.240.64–3.400.96–6.65
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.963.63safe0.62–2.720.83–3.091.45–5.81safer0.35–2.980.54–3.380.89–6.36
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
31%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.606.47safe1.43–4.302.05–5.163.48–9.46safer1.04–4.691.62–5.582.67–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.61 3.75–7.47 3.26–7.96 | 4.06 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.26 | 9.66 6.06–13.27 5.10–14.23 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.57 | 11.54 7.97–15.10 7.01–16.06 | 28.09 20.61–35.58 18.56–37.63 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.32–14.20 7.49–15.03 | 8.19 5.51–10.88 4.78–11.61 | 19.45 13.83–25.08 12.26–26.64 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.02 2.71–7.56 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.19–5.48 | 8.46 4.93–12.00 3.89–13.04 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.66 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 53.42 46.63–60.21 44.96–61.88 | 46.32 39.53–53.10 37.86–54.78 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 507 440–574 422–592 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 936 802–1070 766–1105 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.57 72.54–80.60 71.25–81.89 | 75.07 70.74–79.39 69.43–80.70 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.07–13.74 7.31–14.50 | 10.96 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.65 | 21.86 16.08–27.64 14.57–29.15 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.02 0.93–3.11 0.64–3.40 | 3.80 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.36 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.60 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.27 | 31% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.